Birmingham City 1:0 Swansea City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 20/09/2025 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Birmingham City Home 2.41 xG · 23 shots

Swansea City Away 1.43 xG · 9 shots

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

90' Lyndon Dykes Birmingham City · 0.07 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Birmingham City Swansea City

Shots: 23; 9
On target: 7; 2
Inside the box: 12; 6
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.16
Open play xG: 2.14; 1.43
Set-piece xG: 0.31; 0.04
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.41 for Birmingham City and 1.45 for Swansea City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

32 shots · 3.93 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Birmingham City
Swansea City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Birmingham City

1.28 xG created 0.63 xGA

D 1.38 created, 1.31 conceded against Ipswich Town
W 2.00 created, 0.43 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
W 1.65 created, 0.38 conceded against Oxford United
L 0.83 created, 0.56 conceded against Leicester City
L 0.52 created, 0.49 conceded against Stoke City

Swansea City

0.84 xG created 0.64 xGA

L 0.10 created, 0.35 conceded against Middlesbrough
W 1.13 created, 0.40 conceded against Sheffield United
D 0.68 created, 0.41 conceded against Watford
W 1.31 created, 0.45 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
D 1.00 created, 1.61 conceded against Hull City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.