Cardiff City 1:1 Stoke City: xG & match report · Championship

Tuesday, 08/09/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Cardiff City Home 3.60 xG · 26 shots

Stoke City Away 1.11 xG · 12 shots

11 Cardiff City had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

23' Ben Johnson Stoke City · 0.15 xG chance 0–1
63' Joel Colwill Cardiff City · 0.11 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Cardiff City Stoke City

Shots: 26; 12
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 18; 8
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.06
Open play xG: 2.40; 0.67
Set-piece xG: 0.26; 0.08
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.72 for Cardiff City and 0.75 for Stoke City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

38 shots · 3.41 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Cardiff City
Stoke City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Cardiff City

1.42 xG created 1.70 xGA

D 0.90 created, 1.43 conceded against Wrexham
D 1.98 created, 1.62 conceded against Derby County
D 2.24 created, 1.28 conceded against Sheffield United
L 0.60 created, 2.09 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
L 1.37 created, 2.07 conceded against Portsmouth

Stoke City

0.97 xG created 1.60 xGA

L 1.03 created, 1.98 conceded against Bristol City
L 0.65 created, 0.62 conceded against Swansea City
L 0.93 created, 2.32 conceded against Southampton
L 0.83 created, 2.66 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 0.22 created, 1.44 conceded against Norwich City
W 2.14 created, 0.61 conceded against Charlton Athletic

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.