Bristol City 2:0 Stoke City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 02/05/2026 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Bristol City Home 1.98 xG · 13 shots

Stoke City Away 1.03 xG · 16 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

1' Delano Burgzorg Bristol City · 0.54 xG chance 1–0
88' Sam Bell Bristol City · 0.57 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Bristol City Stoke City

Shots: 13; 16
On target: 5; 2
Inside the box: 8; 6
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.06
Open play xG: 1.13; 0.52
Set-piece xG: 0.68; 0.37
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.84 for Bristol City and 0.89 for Stoke City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 2.71 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Bristol City
Stoke City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bristol City

1.21 xG created 1.65 xGA

W 2.59 created, 1.53 conceded against Charlton Athletic
W 0.36 created, 1.53 conceded against Sheffield United
D 0.83 created, 0.59 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
L 1.43 created, 2.14 conceded against Norwich City
D 0.94 created, 2.33 conceded against Southampton
L 1.13 created, 1.76 conceded against Birmingham City

Stoke City

1.24 xG created 1.55 xGA

W 2.54 created, 1.39 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
L 0.30 created, 2.57 conceded against Derby County
D 1.74 created, 0.67 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
L 0.35 created, 1.25 conceded against Wrexham
L 1.00 created, 1.82 conceded against Millwall
L 1.51 created, 1.61 conceded against Portsmouth

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Bristol City: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Stoke City 5:1 Bristol City 01/11/2025 xG 2.01 – 1.02

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.