xgEdge

Saturday, 15/08/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Middlesbrough 2:1 Lincoln City

Middlesbrough Home 2.23 xG · 22 shots
Lincoln City Away 0.57 xG · 10 shots
21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 12' Adam Reach Lincoln City · 0.10 xG chance 0–1
  2. 62' Will Lankshear Middlesbrough · 0.67 xG chance 1–1
  3. 90' Will Lankshear Middlesbrough · 0.32 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Middlesbrough Lincoln City
Shots
22
10
On target
7
2
Inside the box
14
7
xG per shot
0.10
0.06
Open play xG
1.50
0.25
Set-piece xG
0.76
0.37
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.22 for Middlesbrough and 0.62 for Lincoln City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Middlesbrough · Will Lankshear · 62' · Goal · 5 m · 0.67 xG Middlesbrough · Will Lankshear · 90' · Goal · 2 m · 0.32 xG Middlesbrough · Kyle Joseph · 45' · No goal · 8 m · 0.18 xG Lincoln City · Dom Jefferies · 30' · No goal · 8 m · 0.15 xG Lincoln City · Ryley Towler · 4' · No goal · 7 m · 0.15 xG Middlesbrough · Morgan Whittaker · 75' · No goal · 8 m · 0.14 xG Middlesbrough · Will Lankshear · 87' · No goal · 7 m · 0.14 xG Middlesbrough · Myles Peart-Harris · 87' · No goal · 7 m · 0.13 xG Middlesbrough · Luke Ayling · 34' · No goal · 7 m · 0.13 xG Middlesbrough · Will Lankshear · 49' · No goal · 8 m · 0.10 xG Lincoln City · Adam Reach · 12' · Goal · 15 m · 0.10 xG Middlesbrough · Myles Peart-Harris · 70' · No goal · 10 m · 0.08 xG Lincoln City · Tom Hamer · 52' · No goal · 8 m · 0.07 xG Lincoln City · Freddie Draper · 5' · No goal · 5 m · 0.07 xG Middlesbrough · Leo Castledine · 62' · No goal · 11 m · 0.05 xG Middlesbrough · Leo Castledine · 16' · No goal · 16 m · 0.04 xG Middlesbrough · Sebastian Berhalter · 85' · No goal · 22 m · 0.04 xG Middlesbrough · Morgan Whittaker · 51' · No goal · 28 m · 0.03 xG Middlesbrough · Sebastian Berhalter · 75' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Middlesbrough · Adilson Malanda · 21' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Lincoln City · Dom Jefferies · 38' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Lincoln City · Dom Jefferies · 23' · No goal · 16 m · 0.02 xG Middlesbrough · Jeremy Sarmiento · 73' · No goal · 17 m · 0.02 xG Middlesbrough · Abdoulaye Kanté · 17' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Lincoln City · Ben House · 37' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Middlesbrough · Will Lankshear · 48' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG Middlesbrough · Neto Borges · 53' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Middlesbrough · Sebastian Berhalter · 85' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Lincoln City · Freddie Draper · 45' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Middlesbrough · Morgan Whittaker · 68' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Middlesbrough · Luke Ayling · 2' · No goal · 30 m · 0.01 xG Lincoln City · Adam Reach · 5' · No goal · 22 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

32 shots · 2.87 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Middlesbrough
  • Lincoln City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Middlesbrough

2.23 xG created 1.37 xGA

  • D 3.13 created, 2.16 conceded against Swansea City
  • L 1.28 created, 0.42 conceded against Portsmouth
  • D 2.70 created, 2.59 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • W 1.83 created, 0.48 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • W 2.30 created, 0.85 conceded against Watford
  • D 2.12 created, 1.70 conceded against Wrexham
Lincoln City

No match with expected goals behind it yet.

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.