Saturday, 25/04/2026 at 13:30
Full timeMiddlesbrough 5:1 Watford
Goals
- 6' Morgan Whittaker Middlesbrough · 0.03 xG chance 1–0
- 45' David Strelec Middlesbrough · 0.20 xG chance 2–0
- 48' James Abankwah Watford · 0.14 xG chance 2–1
- 58' Morgan Whittaker Middlesbrough · 0.26 xG chance 3–1
- 75' Tommy Conway (pen.) Middlesbrough · 0.82 xG chance 4–1
- 90' Tommy Conway Middlesbrough · 0.23 xG chance 5–1
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 20
- 12
- On target
- 9
- 3
- Inside the box
- 9
- 6
- xG per shot
- 0.11
- 0.06
- Open play xG
- 1.23
- 0.61
- Set-piece xG
- 0.21
- 0.16
- Penalties
- 1
- 0
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.43 for Middlesbrough and 0.76 for Watford.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
32 shots · 3.03 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Middlesbrough
- Watford
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
2.26 xG created 1.13 xGA
- D 1.50 created, 0.32 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
- L 3.12 created, 0.79 conceded against Millwall
- D 3.13 created, 2.16 conceded against Swansea City
- L 1.28 created, 0.42 conceded against Portsmouth
- D 2.70 created, 2.59 conceded against Ipswich Town
- W 1.83 created, 0.48 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
0.75 xG created 1.79 xGA
- D 0.27 created, 2.13 conceded against Leicester City
- L 0.34 created, 2.40 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
- D 1.13 created, 2.11 conceded against Charlton Athletic
- L 0.81 created, 1.86 conceded against Oxford United
- L 1.29 created, 0.81 conceded against Sheffield United
- L 0.67 created, 1.40 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.