xgEdge

Saturday, 11/04/2026 at 16:00

Full time
Match report · Championship

Middlesbrough 0:1 Portsmouth

Middlesbrough Home 1.28 xG · 20 shots
Portsmouth Away 0.42 xG · 3 shots
01 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 90' Conor Chaplin Portsmouth · 0.34 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Middlesbrough Portsmouth
Shots
20
3
On target
8
1
Inside the box
15
2
xG per shot
0.07
0.17
Open play xG
0.66
0.14
Set-piece xG
0.65
0.38
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.30 for Middlesbrough and 0.51 for Portsmouth.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Portsmouth · Conor Chaplin · 90' · Goal · 6 m · 0.34 xG Middlesbrough · Riley McGree · 52' · No goal · 13 m · 0.22 xG Middlesbrough · Alexander Gilbert · 85' · No goal · 8 m · 0.20 xG Portsmouth · Colby Bishop · 68' · No goal · 7 m · 0.14 xG Middlesbrough · Riley McGree · 47' · No goal · 8 m · 0.11 xG Middlesbrough · Alan Browne · 69' · No goal · 5 m · 0.10 xG Middlesbrough · Sontje Hansen · 83' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG Middlesbrough · Alan Browne · 73' · No goal · 24 m · 0.07 xG Middlesbrough · Adilson Malanda · 10' · No goal · 16 m · 0.07 xG Middlesbrough · David Strelec · 63' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Middlesbrough · Alan Browne · 9' · No goal · 15 m · 0.06 xG Middlesbrough · Sontje Hansen · 90' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG Middlesbrough · Dael Fry · 45' · No goal · 6 m · 0.04 xG Portsmouth · Adrian Segečić · 90' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Middlesbrough · Jeremy Sarmiento · 21' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Middlesbrough · Alan Browne · 38' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Middlesbrough · Riley McGree · 74' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Middlesbrough · Luke Ayling · 75' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Middlesbrough · Aidan Morris · 21' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Middlesbrough · Aidan Morris · 48' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Middlesbrough · Luke Ayling · 74' · No goal · 11 m · 0.02 xG Middlesbrough · Dael Fry · 74' · No goal · 10 m · 0.02 xG Middlesbrough · Aidan Morris · 90' · No goal · 17 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

23 shots · 1.82 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Middlesbrough
  • Portsmouth
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Middlesbrough

2.62 xG created 0.83 xGA

  • W 3.68 created, 0.63 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • L 1.81 created, 0.73 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • D 2.50 created, 0.32 conceded against Bristol City
  • D 1.50 created, 0.32 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • L 3.12 created, 0.79 conceded against Millwall
  • D 3.13 created, 2.16 conceded against Swansea City
Portsmouth

1.06 xG created 1.06 xGA

  • D 0.62 created, 1.20 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • L 0.94 created, 0.71 conceded against Swansea City
  • L 1.72 created, 1.00 conceded against Derby County
  • L 1.64 created, 1.63 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • D 0.50 created, 0.44 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 0.93 created, 1.35 conceded against Oxford United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Middlesbrough: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.