Middlesbrough 3:1 West Bromwich Albion: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 29/08/2026 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Middlesbrough Home 2.46 xG · 15 shots

West Bromwich Albion Away 1.40 xG · 12 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

48' Will Lankshear Middlesbrough · 0.94 xG chance 1–0
65' Jimmy-Jay Morgan West Bromwich Albion · 0.30 xG chance 1–1
73' Will Lankshear Middlesbrough · 0.27 xG chance 2–1
87' Alfie Jones Middlesbrough · 0.40 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Middlesbrough West Bromwich Albion

Shots: 15; 12
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 14; 10
xG per shot: 0.17; 0.12
Open play xG: 1.71; 1.39
Set-piece xG: 0.82; 0.02
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.53 for Middlesbrough and 1.41 for West Bromwich Albion.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 3.94 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Middlesbrough
West Bromwich Albion
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Middlesbrough

2.10 xG created 1.18 xGA

D 2.70 created, 2.59 conceded against Ipswich Town
W 1.83 created, 0.48 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
W 2.30 created, 0.85 conceded against Watford
D 2.12 created, 1.70 conceded against Wrexham
W 2.23 created, 0.57 conceded against Lincoln City
L 1.43 created, 0.91 conceded against Blackburn Rovers

West Bromwich Albion

1.62 xG created 1.41 xGA

W 1.66 created, 1.29 conceded against Preston North End
W 1.40 created, 0.67 conceded against Watford
D 1.30 created, 1.07 conceded against Ipswich Town
L 1.87 created, 1.28 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
W 1.85 created, 2.96 conceded against Norwich City
W 1.63 created, 1.18 conceded against Burnley

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Middlesbrough: 2 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.