Preston North End 2:1 Swansea City: xG & match report · Championship

Wednesday, 05/11/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Preston North End Home 0.71 xG · 4 shots

Swansea City Away 0.69 xG · 18 shots

21 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

8' Thierry Small Preston North End · 0.02 xG chance 1–0
49' Milutin Osmajić Preston North End · 0.41 xG chance 2–0
80' Ji-sung Eom Swansea City · 0.02 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Preston North End Swansea City

Shots: 4; 18
On target: 3; 5
Inside the box: 2; 8
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.04
Open play xG: 0.74; 0.33
Set-piece xG: 0.00; 0.36
Penalties: —; —

Preston North End's shots add up to 0.74 xG; the published figure is 0.71.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 1.43 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Preston North End
Swansea City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Preston North End

1.64 xG created 1.23 xGA

D 1.43 created, 1.82 conceded against Hull City
W 1.81 created, 0.54 conceded against Charlton Athletic
L 1.39 created, 1.30 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
L 1.38 created, 0.83 conceded against Birmingham City
W 1.57 created, 2.37 conceded against Sheffield United
W 2.24 created, 0.53 conceded against Southampton

Swansea City

0.67 xG created 1.59 xGA

W 0.46 created, 0.61 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
L 1.84 created, 1.65 conceded against Leicester City
D 0.20 created, 3.10 conceded against Southampton
L 0.40 created, 2.05 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
W 0.43 created, 1.17 conceded against Norwich City
D 0.71 created, 0.93 conceded against Charlton Athletic

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.