Hull City 2:2 Preston North End: xG & match report · Championship

Tuesday, 30/09/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Hull City Home 1.82 xG · 10 shots

Preston North End Away 1.43 xG · 13 shots

22 Hull City had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

3' Thierry Small Preston North End · 0.03 xG chance 0–1
10' Michael Smith Preston North End · 0.09 xG chance 0–2
48' Oli McBurnie Hull City · 0.56 xG chance 1–2
74' Oli McBurnie Hull City · 0.75 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Hull City Preston North End

Shots: 10; 13
On target: 5; 5
Inside the box: 7; 7
xG per shot: 0.17; 0.09
Open play xG: 1.50; 1.02
Set-piece xG: 0.24; 0.19
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.75 for Hull City and 1.19 for Preston North End.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 2.96 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Hull City
Preston North End
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Hull City

1.61 xG created 2.07 xGA

W 1.91 created, 1.02 conceded against Oxford United
L 0.52 created, 3.03 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
L 2.60 created, 3.49 conceded against Bristol City
D 1.61 created, 1.00 conceded against Swansea City
W 2.13 created, 1.07 conceded against Southampton
L 0.86 created, 2.82 conceded against Watford

Preston North End

1.07 xG created 1.35 xGA

W 2.48 created, 0.92 conceded against Leicester City
W 0.84 created, 1.39 conceded against Ipswich Town
L 1.01 created, 1.58 conceded against Portsmouth
D 0.75 created, 1.52 conceded against Middlesbrough
W 0.90 created, 0.34 conceded against Derby County
D 0.42 created, 2.32 conceded against Bristol City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.