Queens Park Rangers 1:0 Stoke City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 20/09/2025 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Queens Park Rangers Home 1.33 xG · 14 shots

Stoke City Away 1.09 xG · 7 shots

10 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

75' Harvey Vale Queens Park Rangers · 0.05 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Queens Park Rangers Stoke City

Shots: 14; 7
On target: 7; 1
Inside the box: 8; 4
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.14
Open play xG: 1.06; 0.98
Set-piece xG: 0.29; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.33 for Queens Park Rangers and 1.00 for Stoke City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 2.32 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Queens Park Rangers
Stoke City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Queens Park Rangers

0.98 xG created 1.41 xGA

D 0.94 created, 0.84 conceded against Preston North End
L 0.50 created, 2.06 conceded against Watford
L 0.61 created, 1.27 conceded against Coventry City
W 1.43 created, 0.84 conceded against Charlton Athletic
W 1.43 created, 2.02 conceded against Wrexham

Stoke City

1.22 xG created 1.13 xGA

W 1.09 created, 0.39 conceded against Derby County
W 2.06 created, 1.50 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
W 1.50 created, 2.59 conceded against Southampton
L 0.95 created, 0.66 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
W 0.49 created, 0.52 conceded against Birmingham City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.