Southampton 1:2 Stoke City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 23/08/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Southampton Home 2.59 xG · 18 shots

Stoke City Away 1.50 xG · 12 shots

12 The result went against the chances

Goals

54' Lewis Baker Stoke City · 0.38 xG chance 0–1
75' Sorba Thomas Stoke City · 0.33 xG chance 0–2
79' Taylor Harwood-Bellis Southampton · 0.18 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Southampton Stoke City

Shots: 18; 12
On target: 2; 4
Inside the box: 13; 7
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.13
Open play xG: 2.18; 1.43
Set-piece xG: 0.43; 0.15
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.61 for Southampton and 1.58 for Stoke City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 4.19 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Southampton
Stoke City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Southampton

2.45 xG created 1.76 xGA

W 4.14 created, 1.88 conceded against Wrexham
D 0.75 created, 1.64 conceded against Ipswich Town

Stoke City

1.58 xG created 0.95 xGA

W 1.09 created, 0.39 conceded against Derby County
W 2.06 created, 1.50 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.