xgEdge

Tuesday, 21/04/2026 at 20:45

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Match report · Championship

Southampton 2:2 Bristol City

Southampton Home 2.33 xG · 10 shots
Bristol City Away 0.94 xG · 9 shots
22 Southampton had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 5' Ryan Manning (o.g.) Bristol City 0–1
  2. 29' Cyle Larin Southampton · 0.63 xG chance 1–1
  3. 63' Sam Bell Bristol City · 0.12 xG chance 1–2
  4. 74' Ross Stewart Southampton · 0.30 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Southampton Bristol City
Shots
10
9
On target
4
6
Inside the box
7
4
xG per shot
0.20
0.08
Open play xG
1.33
0.64
Set-piece xG
0.63
0.12
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.97 for Southampton and 0.74 for Bristol City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Southampton · Cyle Larin · 29' · Goal · 3 m · 0.63 xG Southampton · Ross Stewart · 90' · No goal · 4 m · 0.41 xG Bristol City · Delano Burgzorg · 2' · No goal · 10 m · 0.40 xG Southampton · Shea Charles · 86' · No goal · 7 m · 0.38 xG Southampton · Ross Stewart · 74' · Goal · 4 m · 0.30 xG Bristol City · Sam Bell · 63' · Goal · 3 m · 0.12 xG Bristol City · Tomi Horvat · 50' · No goal · 11 m · 0.10 xG Southampton · Cameron Bragg · 90' · No goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG Southampton · Cyle Larin · 39' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Bristol City · Tomi Horvat · 69' · No goal · 25 m · 0.05 xG Southampton · Leo Scienza · 89' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Southampton · Cameron Archer · 46' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Southampton · Finn Azaz · 26' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · Delano Burgzorg · 38' · No goal · 18 m · 0.03 xG Bristol City · Tomi Horvat · 79' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Southampton · Shea Charles · 19' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Tomi Horvat · 54' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Sam Morsy · 39' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Bristol City · Ryan Manning · 5' · Goal · 8 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

19 shots · 2.71 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Southampton
  • Bristol City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Southampton

1.71 xG created 0.97 xGA

  • W 0.58 created, 1.11 conceded against Norwich City
  • W 2.15 created, 1.07 conceded against Oxford United
  • W 2.35 created, 1.25 conceded against Wrexham
  • W 1.73 created, 0.91 conceded against Derby County
  • W 2.23 created, 0.28 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • W 1.19 created, 1.19 conceded against Swansea City
Bristol City

0.95 xG created 1.80 xGA

  • D 0.32 created, 2.50 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • L 0.18 created, 2.51 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • W 2.59 created, 1.53 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • W 0.36 created, 1.53 conceded against Sheffield United
  • D 0.83 created, 0.59 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • L 1.43 created, 2.14 conceded against Norwich City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Southampton: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.