Tuesday, 21/10/2025 at 21:00
Full timeBristol City 3:1 Southampton
Goals
- 30' Adam Armstrong Southampton · 0.40 xG chance 0–1
- 33' Anis Mehmeti Bristol City · 0.26 xG chance 1–1
- 57' Scott Twine Bristol City · 0.31 xG chance 2–1
- 64' Scott Twine Bristol City · 0.49 xG chance 3–1
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 13
- 14
- On target
- 4
- 7
- xG per shot
- 0.11
- 0.13
- Open play xG
- 1.30
- 1.34
- Set-piece xG
- 0.18
- 0.53
- Penalties
- —
- —
Bristol City's shots add up to 1.48 xG and Southampton's to 1.87; the published figures are 1.63 and 2.20.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
27 shots · 3.35 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Bristol City
- Southampton
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.59 xG created 0.90 xGA
- W 1.39 created, 0.83 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
- L 1.18 created, 1.72 conceded against Oxford United
- D 2.32 created, 0.42 conceded against Preston North End
- D 1.38 created, 1.38 conceded against Ipswich Town
- L 1.21 created, 0.48 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
- W 2.06 created, 0.58 conceded against Norwich City
1.48 xG created 0.96 xGA
- D 1.18 created, 0.94 conceded against Portsmouth
- L 1.07 created, 2.13 conceded against Hull City
- D 0.85 created, 0.29 conceded against Middlesbrough
- W 1.61 created, 0.85 conceded against Sheffield United
- D 1.06 created, 1.36 conceded against Derby County
- D 3.10 created, 0.20 conceded against Swansea City
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.