Saturday, 14/03/2026 at 13:30
Full timeMiddlesbrough 1:1 Bristol City
Goals
- 65' Leo Castledine Middlesbrough · 0.27 xG chance 1–0
- 90' Adam Randell Bristol City · 0.06 xG chance 1–1
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 19
- 4
- On target
- 7
- 1
- Inside the box
- 12
- 2
- xG per shot
- 0.13
- 0.08
- Open play xG
- 1.52
- 0.15
- Set-piece xG
- 1.01
- 0.17
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.50 for Middlesbrough.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
23 shots · 2.85 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Middlesbrough
- Bristol City
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.85 xG created 0.91 xGA
- L 1.17 created, 1.79 conceded against Coventry City
- D 2.15 created, 0.82 conceded against Oxford United
- D 1.19 created, 0.89 conceded against Leicester City
- W 1.07 created, 0.61 conceded against Birmingham City
- W 3.68 created, 0.63 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
- L 1.81 created, 0.73 conceded against Charlton Athletic
0.91 xG created 1.26 xGA
- D 0.38 created, 1.07 conceded against Wrexham
- L 0.72 created, 0.58 conceded against Swansea City
- W 0.78 created, 2.20 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
- L 0.89 created, 0.99 conceded against Watford
- L 1.64 created, 1.51 conceded against Coventry City
- L 1.06 created, 1.23 conceded against Leicester City
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.