Ekstraklasa odds: history of flagged selections 2026/2027
Estimates from a statistical model, published for reading rather than as betting advice. A positive value is a statement about an average over a long run, not about the match in front of you.
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Every Ekstraklasa qualified selection this season — a fresh price, full model data, a market with measured skill and an edge from 5% up to but not including 40%, at the model's last evaluation before kickoff — newest first, with its result and what an equal stake of one unit returned.
The price shown is the one paired with the last evaluation before kickoff, not necessarily the price available when the selection first appeared. Selections that no longer qualified at that evaluation are not counted.
| Match and selection | Model prob. | Price | Bookmaker | Captured | Result | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznań – Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom to win | Model prob. 13.8% | Price 8.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Motor Lublin – Górnik Zabrze Górnik Zabrze at most 1 goal | Model prob. 59.1% | Price 1.83 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.83u |
| Raków Częstochowa – Zagłębie Lubin Zagłębie Lubin to win | Model prob. 32.1% | Price 4.20 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +3.20u |
| Raków Częstochowa – Zagłębie Lubin Raków Częstochowa not to score | Model prob. 21.8% | Price 5.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Raków Częstochowa – Zagłębie Lubin Zagłębie Lubin to score | Model prob. 75.3% | Price 1.44 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.44u |
| Raków Częstochowa – Zagłębie Lubin Raków Częstochowa at most 1 goal | Model prob. 57.9% | Price 1.91 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Raków Częstochowa – Zagłębie Lubin Zagłębie Lubin 2+ goals | Model prob. 38.0% | Price 3.25 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +2.25u |
| Radomiak Radom – Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice to win | Model prob. 38.7% | Price 2.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.75u |
| Radomiak Radom – Piast Gliwice Radomiak Radom at most 1 goal | Model prob. 61.0% | Price 1.73 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.73u |
| Górnik Zabrze – Lech Poznań Górnik Zabrze not to score | Model prob. 29.7% | Price 3.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Górnik Zabrze – Lech Poznań Górnik Zabrze at most 1 goal | Model prob. 69.1% | Price 1.62 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Raków Częstochowa – Motor Lublin Motor Lublin to win | Model prob. 29.8% | Price 3.60 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Raków Częstochowa – Motor Lublin Raków Częstochowa not to score | Model prob. 17.5% | Price 6.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Raków Częstochowa – Motor Lublin Raków Częstochowa at most 1 goal | Model prob. 50.6% | Price 2.10 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Pogoń Szczecin – Wisła Płock Wisła Płock to win | Model prob. 34.9% | Price 3.60 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Piast Gliwice – GKS Katowice Piast Gliwice to win | Model prob. 45.7% | Price 2.35 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.35u |
| Motor Lublin – Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice to win | Model prob. 37.6% | Price 2.88 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.88u |
| Radomiak Radom – Cracovia Radomiak Radom not to score | Model prob. 32.6% | Price 3.25 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
A selection counts only if the live feed evaluated and priced it before kickoff and it qualified at that evaluation. Nothing is added afterwards. A pending selection is graded by the nightly settlement. How the model works →