xgEdge

Saturday, 04/04/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · Eredivisie

Excelsior 0:2 NEC Nijmegen

Excelsior Home 0.72 xG
NEC Nijmegen Away 1.32 xG
02 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Excelsior NEC Nijmegen
Shots
9
12
On target
5
5
Inside the box
7
7
xG per shot
0.08
0.11

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Excelsior

1.38 xG created 1.82 xGA

  • L 0.75 created, 2.01 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
  • L 1.23 created, 1.93 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • L 1.86 created, 0.43 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
  • L 2.56 created, 1.69 conceded against SC Heerenveen
  • L 0.84 created, 3.36 conceded against Feyenoord
  • D 1.06 created, 1.52 conceded against Heracles Almelo
NEC Nijmegen

1.56 xG created 1.50 xGA

  • D 0.99 created, 1.70 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
  • D 1.16 created, 1.48 conceded against AFC Ajax
  • L 1.46 created, 2.45 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • W 1.44 created, 0.45 conceded against FC Volendam
  • W 2.09 created, 1.53 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
  • D 2.22 created, 1.38 conceded against SC Heerenveen

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Excelsior: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.