Excelsior 1:2 SC Heerenveen: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Saturday, 07/03/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

Excelsior Home 2.56 xG

SC Heerenveen Away 1.69 xG

12 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

Excelsior SC Heerenveen

Shots: 21; 10
On target: 5; 5
Inside the box: 18; 7
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.17

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Excelsior

1.08 xG created 1.21 xGA

D 0.99 created, 1.20 conceded against FC Twente
D 0.80 created, 0.63 conceded against AFC Ajax
W 0.86 created, 1.08 conceded against NAC Breda
L 0.75 created, 2.01 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
L 1.23 created, 1.93 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
L 1.86 created, 0.43 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles

SC Heerenveen

1.31 xG created 1.68 xGA

D 1.64 created, 0.83 conceded against FC Utrecht
L 0.29 created, 3.18 conceded against FC Twente
W 1.82 created, 0.77 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
W 1.58 created, 1.19 conceded against PEC Zwolle
L 1.28 created, 3.27 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
W 1.27 created, 0.83 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Excelsior: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

SC Heerenveen 2:1 Excelsior 04/10/2025 xG 2.12 – 0.85

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.