Sparta Rotterdam 1:1 NEC Nijmegen: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Tuesday, 17/02/2026 at 20:00

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Match report · Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam Home 1.70 xG

NEC Nijmegen Away 0.99 xG

11 Sparta Rotterdam had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

Sparta Rotterdam NEC Nijmegen

Shots: 13; 12
On target: 5; 5
Inside the box: 11; 10
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.08

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Sparta Rotterdam

1.64 xG created 0.96 xGA

W 2.75 created, 1.06 conceded against FC Volendam
W 2.39 created, 0.33 conceded against Heracles Almelo
W 1.60 created, 1.69 conceded against Feyenoord
W 0.59 created, 1.40 conceded against FC Utrecht
W 1.19 created, 0.28 conceded against FC Groningen
D 1.31 created, 0.99 conceded against Fortuna Sittard

NEC Nijmegen

1.77 xG created 1.31 xGA

D 2.05 created, 2.02 conceded against AFC Ajax
W 1.19 created, 0.82 conceded against NAC Breda
W 1.50 created, 0.71 conceded against PEC Zwolle
W 1.36 created, 1.39 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
W 2.55 created, 1.16 conceded against Heracles Almelo
L 1.99 created, 1.78 conceded against FC Utrecht

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Sparta Rotterdam: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

NEC Nijmegen 3:1 Sparta Rotterdam 29/11/2025 xG 2.78 – 1.70

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.