FC Twente's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eredivisie 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
FC Twente xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | PSV Eindhoven | 2.87 |
| #2 | Feyenoord | 2.76 |
| #3 | AFC Ajax | 2.65 |
| #4 | AZ Alkmaar | 2.55 |
| #5 | FC Twente | 2.28 |
| #6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1.91 |
| #7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1.64 |
| #8 | NEC Nijmegen | 1.60 |
| #9 | FC Groningen | 1.54 |
| #10 | FC Utrecht | 1.41 |
| #11 | SC Cambuur | 1.35 |
| #12 | Excelsior | 1.35 |
| #13 | Willem II Tilburg | 1.29 |
| #14 | SC Heerenveen | 1.26 |
| #15 | SC Telstar | 1.09 |
| #16 | Fortuna Sittard | 0.97 |
| #17 | PEC Zwolle | 0.94 |
| #18 | ADO Den Haag | 0.90 |
- League avg
- 1.69
- Total
- 15.95 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Twente | 0.75 |
| #2 | Feyenoord | 0.80 |
| #3 | AZ Alkmaar | 0.95 |
| #4 | AFC Ajax | 1.25 |
| #5 | SC Heerenveen | 1.36 |
| #6 | PSV Eindhoven | 1.37 |
| #7 | Excelsior | 1.44 |
| #8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1.63 |
| #9 | ADO Den Haag | 1.90 |
| #10 | NEC Nijmegen | 1.92 |
| #11 | FC Groningen | 1.93 |
| #12 | SC Cambuur | 2.04 |
| #13 | SC Telstar | 2.05 |
| #14 | PEC Zwolle | 2.06 |
| #15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2.10 |
| #16 | FC Utrecht | 2.11 |
| #17 | Willem II Tilburg | 2.28 |
| #18 | Fortuna Sittard | 2.42 |
- League avg
- 1.69
- Total
- 5.23 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Feyenoord | +1.96 |
| #2 | AZ Alkmaar | +1.60 |
| #3 | FC Twente | +1.53 |
| #4 | PSV Eindhoven | +1.51 |
| #5 | AFC Ajax | +1.40 |
| #6 | Go Ahead Eagles | +0.28 |
| #7 | Excelsior | -0.09 |
| #8 | SC Heerenveen | -0.10 |
| #9 | NEC Nijmegen | -0.32 |
| #10 | FC Groningen | -0.39 |
| #11 | Sparta Rotterdam | -0.46 |
| #12 | SC Cambuur | -0.68 |
| #13 | FC Utrecht | -0.70 |
| #14 | SC Telstar | -0.96 |
| #15 | Willem II Tilburg | -0.99 |
| #16 | ADO Den Haag | -1.00 |
| #17 | PEC Zwolle | -1.12 |
| #18 | Fortuna Sittard | -1.46 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- +10.72 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Feyenoord | 2.49 |
| #2 | FC Twente | 2.43 |
| #3 | AZ Alkmaar | 2.30 |
| #4 | AFC Ajax | 2.20 |
| #5 | PSV Eindhoven | 2.18 |
| #6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1.59 |
| #7 | Excelsior | 1.31 |
| #8 | FC Groningen | 1.28 |
| #9 | SC Heerenveen | 1.28 |
| #10 | NEC Nijmegen | 1.18 |
| #11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1.15 |
| #12 | FC Utrecht | 1.14 |
| #13 | SC Cambuur | 0.91 |
| #14 | ADO Den Haag | 0.85 |
| #15 | SC Telstar | 0.79 |
| #16 | Willem II Tilburg | 0.79 |
| #17 | PEC Zwolle | 0.73 |
| #18 | Fortuna Sittard | 0.72 |
- League avg
- 1.41
- Total
- 16.99 vs 16 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
What the xG says
FC Twente's underlying numbers are among the best in Eredivisie. They rank #3 for xG difference at +1.53 per match, built on elite shot volume rather than low chance quality. Their 15 goals are 0.95 below 15.95 xG, while 16 points are 0.99 below 16.99 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
FC Twente are 0.95 goals below their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at -1.55, against ADO Den Haag on Sat 12/09.
- Goals
- 15
- xG
- 15.95
- Gap
- -0.95
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 09/08 | SC Heerenveen | 0 | 1.41 | -1.41 | -1.41 |
| Sun 16/08 | PEC Zwolle | 3 | 2.62 | +0.38 | -1.03 |
| Sun 30/08 | SC Cambuur | 4 | 1.76 | +2.24 | +1.21 |
| Sun 06/09 | FC Groningen | 2 | 2.30 | -0.30 | +0.91 |
| Wed 09/09 | SC Telstar | 1 | 2.65 | -1.65 | -0.74 |
| Sat 12/09 | ADO Den Haag | 2 | 2.81 | -0.81 | -1.55 |
| Sun 20/09 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2.40 | +0.60 | -0.95 |
FC Twente xG trend
Current form +1.38 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 7 of 7 matches.
- npxG · last 6
- 2.07
- npxGA · last 6
- 0.69
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 09/08 | SC Heerenveen | 1.73 | 0.39 | +1.34 | +1.34 |
| Sun 16/08 | PEC Zwolle | 2.21 | 0.68 | +1.53 | +1.44 |
| Sun 30/08 | SC Cambuur | 1.76 | 0.47 | +1.29 | +1.39 |
| Sun 06/09 | FC Groningen | 2.32 | 1.44 | +0.88 | +1.26 |
| Wed 09/09 | SC Telstar | 1.76 | 0.20 | +1.56 | +1.32 |
| Sat 12/09 | ADO Den Haag | 2.02 | 0.54 | +1.48 | +1.35 |
| Sun 20/09 | PSV Eindhoven | 2.36 | 0.81 | +1.55 | +1.38 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.02 npxG and 0.65 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- number 14 hardest of 18 in Eredivisie
- −0.14 xG vs league average
- Over 7 league matches
- Last 5
- number 14 hardest of 18 in Eredivisie
- −0.06 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
−0.14 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 14 hardest of 18
- PSV Eindhoven Home +0.84
- ADO Den Haag Home −0.29
- SC Telstar Home −0.51
- FC Groningen Away −0.04
- SC Cambuur Away −0.29
- PEC Zwolle Home −0.54
- SC Heerenveen Away −0.17
Last 5
−0.06 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 14 hardest of 18
- PSV Eindhoven Home +0.84
- ADO Den Haag Home −0.29
- SC Telstar Home −0.51
- FC Groningen Away −0.04
- SC Cambuur Away −0.29
FC Twente shots and chance quality
High volume, low quality. FC Twente take 21.6 shots a match (league 15.0) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #3 in Eredivisie for volume and #14 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 66%), and set pieces produce 21% of their npxG (league 18%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | AFC Ajax | 24.7 |
| #2 | Feyenoord | 22.3 |
| #3 | FC Twente | 21.6 |
| #4 | PSV Eindhoven | 21.0 |
| #5 | AZ Alkmaar | 19.4 |
| #6 | SC Heerenveen | 16.0 |
| =7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15.1 |
| =7 | NEC Nijmegen | 15.1 |
| #9 | FC Groningen | 15.0 |
| #10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 13.1 |
| =11 | ADO Den Haag | 11.9 |
| =11 | SC Cambuur | 11.9 |
| =11 | Willem II Tilburg | 11.9 |
| #14 | Excelsior | 11.3 |
| #15 | FC Utrecht | 10.9 |
| #16 | PEC Zwolle | 10.6 |
| #17 | Fortuna Sittard | 10.1 |
| #18 | SC Telstar | 7.9 |
- League avg
- 15.0
- Total
- 151 shots from 7 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | AZ Alkmaar | 0.13 |
| #2 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0.13 |
| #3 | PSV Eindhoven | 0.13 |
| #4 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0.12 |
| #5 | Excelsior | 0.12 |
| #6 | FC Utrecht | 0.12 |
| #7 | Feyenoord | 0.12 |
| #8 | SC Cambuur | 0.11 |
| #9 | Willem II Tilburg | 0.11 |
| #10 | AFC Ajax | 0.11 |
| #11 | SC Telstar | 0.10 |
| #12 | NEC Nijmegen | 0.10 |
| #13 | FC Groningen | 0.10 |
| #14 | FC Twente | 0.09 |
| #15 | Fortuna Sittard | 0.09 |
| #16 | PEC Zwolle | 0.09 |
| #17 | SC Heerenveen | 0.08 |
| #18 | ADO Den Haag | 0.08 |
- League avg
- 0.11
- Total
- 14.16 npxG from 151 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | AZ Alkmaar | 8.1 |
| =2 | AFC Ajax | 9.6 |
| =2 | Feyenoord | 9.6 |
| #4 | FC Twente | 10.0 |
| #5 | PSV Eindhoven | 10.1 |
| #6 | NEC Nijmegen | 11.6 |
| #7 | FC Groningen | 15.1 |
| =8 | SC Cambuur | 15.9 |
| =8 | SC Heerenveen | 15.9 |
| =10 | ADO Den Haag | 16.1 |
| =10 | Excelsior | 16.1 |
| #12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16.6 |
| #13 | SC Telstar | 17.9 |
| #14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 18.0 |
| #15 | FC Utrecht | 18.6 |
| #16 | Willem II Tilburg | 19.9 |
| #17 | Fortuna Sittard | 20.3 |
| #18 | PEC Zwolle | 20.4 |
- League avg
- 15.0
- Total
- 70 shots allowed from 7 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Twente | 0.06 |
| #2 | Feyenoord | 0.08 |
| #3 | Excelsior | 0.09 |
| #4 | SC Heerenveen | 0.09 |
| #5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0.09 |
| #6 | PEC Zwolle | 0.10 |
| #7 | FC Utrecht | 0.10 |
| #8 | SC Telstar | 0.11 |
| #9 | ADO Den Haag | 0.11 |
| #10 | SC Cambuur | 0.11 |
| #11 | Willem II Tilburg | 0.11 |
| #12 | Fortuna Sittard | 0.12 |
| #13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0.12 |
| #14 | AZ Alkmaar | 0.12 |
| #15 | FC Groningen | 0.12 |
| #16 | AFC Ajax | 0.13 |
| #17 | PSV Eindhoven | 0.13 |
| #18 | NEC Nijmegen | 0.17 |
- League avg
- 0.11
- Total
- 4.53 npxGA from 70 shots
Shot profile
68% inside the box
League avg 66%
From 103 of 151 shots over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
60% allowed inside the box
League avg 66%
From 42 of 70 shots allowed over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
79% open play · 21% set pieces
League avg 18% set pieces
From 3.0 of 14.1 npxG over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
83% open play · 17% set pieces
League avg 18% set pieces
From 0.8 of 4.5 npxG allowed over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
FC Twente home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| xG / match | 2.62 | 1.82 |
| xGA / match | 0.72 | 0.78 |
| xGD / match | +1.90 | +1.04 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 2.59 | 2.22 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every FC Twente match by xG
At home this season
- Matches
- 4
- xG / match
- 2.62
- xGA / match
- 0.72
- xGD / match
- +1.90
- Points
- 12 of 12
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
FC Twente in Eredivisie
Attack
- xG / match #5 of 18
- Shots / match #3 of 18
- Chance quality #14 of 18
- Home xG #2 of 18
- Away xG #10 of 18
Defence
- xGA / match #1 of 18
- Shots allowed #4 of 18
- Chance quality allowed #1 of 18
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.