xgEdge

Every Eredivisie match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Saturday, 16/01/2027

3 matches
  • Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.06 – 1.77
    →
  • ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.62 – 1.18
    →
  • Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.12 – 2.41
    Clear favourite
    →

Sunday, 17/01/2027

4 matches
  • FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.31 – 1.84
    →
  • Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.40 – 1.88
    →
  • AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 2.24 – 1.31
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.93 – 1.41
    →

Friday, 22/01/2027

1 match
  • Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.78 – 1.10
    →

Saturday, 23/01/2027

4 matches
  • AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 2.40 – 1.01
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.46 – 0.84
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 2.19 – 1.05
    Clear favourite
    →
  • PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 2.37 – 1.02
    Clear favourite
    →

Sunday, 24/01/2027

4 matches
  • Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.97 – 1.51
    →
  • NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.21 – 1.25
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.64 – 1.68
    Tight
    →
  • AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 2.06 – 1.19
    Clear favourite
    →

Friday, 29/01/2027

1 match
  • FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.68 – 1.33
    →

Saturday, 30/01/2027

4 matches
  • Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.75 – 1.29
    →
  • ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.60 – 1.54
    Tight
    →
  • Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.24 – 2.43
    Clear favourite
    →
  • PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.65 – 1.30
    →

Sunday, 31/01/2027

4 matches
  • SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.50 – 2.03
    →
  • FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.27 – 1.01
    Clear favourite
    →
  • AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.41 – 1.47
    Tight
    →
  • FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.65 – 1.57
    Tight
    →

Saturday, 06/02/2027

1 match
  • FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.38 – 1.03
    Clear favourite
    →

Saturday, 13/02/2027

9 matches
  • SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.39 – 1.53
    →
  • Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.36 – 1.48
    →
  • Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 2.12 – 1.11
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.66 – 1.67
    Tight
    →
  • PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.73 – 1.46
    →
  • FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.34 – 1.70
    →
  • Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.01 – 1.30
    →
  • Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.33 – 1.82
    →
  • Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.73 – 1.69
    Tight
    →

Saturday, 20/02/2027

9 matches
  • NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.11 – 1.36
    →
  • Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 2.34 – 0.80
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.79 – 1.28
    →
  • AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.37 – 0.91
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.02 – 1.36
    →
  • PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.38 – 1.64
    →
  • AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 2.48 – 1.37
    Clear favourite
    →
  • PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.58 – 1.13
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.96 – 0.94
    Clear favourite
    →

Saturday, 27/02/2027

6 matches
  • Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.35 – 2.31
    Clear favourite
    →
  • NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.43 – 1.64
    →
  • SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.79 – 1.29
    →
  • Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.58 – 1.35
    →
  • ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.06 – 1.78
    →
  • AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.59 – 1.68
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.