xgEdge

Every Eredivisie match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Saturday, 27/02/2027

3 matches
  • Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.51 – 1.76
    →
  • Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.41 – 1.82
    →
  • SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.46 – 1.64
    →

Saturday, 06/03/2027

9 matches
  • FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.62 – 1.25
    →
  • Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 2.32 – 1.01
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.70 – 1.41
    →
  • PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 2.45 – 1.25
    Clear favourite
    →
  • ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.29 – 1.93
    →
  • FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.83 – 1.13
    →
  • PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.66 – 1.44
    →
  • Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.31 – 1.88
    →
  • Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.80 – 1.57
    →

Saturday, 13/03/2027

9 matches
  • AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.51 – 1.05
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.61 – 1.35
    →
  • Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.44 – 1.48
    Tight
    →
  • Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.27 – 2.08
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.09 – 2.15
    Clear favourite
    →
  • AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.28 – 1.10
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.11 – 2.14
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.78 – 1.52
    →
  • SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.00 – 1.23
    Clear favourite
    →

Saturday, 20/03/2027

9 matches
  • FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.04 – 1.46
    →
  • Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.40 – 0.97
    Clear favourite
    →
  • AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.88 – 1.00
    Clear favourite
    →
  • PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.46 – 1.60
    →
  • SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.58 – 1.24
    →
  • NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.64 – 1.86
    →
  • FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.41 – 2.01
    →
  • ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.74 – 1.30
    →
  • FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 2.29 – 1.13
    Clear favourite
    →

Saturday, 03/04/2027

9 matches
  • PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.84 – 1.40
    →
  • Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 0.96 – 2.24
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.67 – 1.55
    →
  • AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.65 – 1.58
    Tight
    →
  • SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.71 – 1.24
    →
  • Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.67 – 1.12
    →
  • Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.65 – 1.42
    →
  • Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.74 – 1.74
    Tight
    →
  • Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.57 – 1.83
    →

Saturday, 10/04/2027

9 matches
  • ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.02 – 1.88
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.91 – 1.27
    →
  • NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.94 – 1.38
    →
  • FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.62 – 1.27
    →
  • Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.18 – 2.05
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.59 – 2.00
    →
  • SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 0.97 – 1.89
    Clear favourite
    →
  • PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.14 – 2.25
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.82 – 1.76
    Tight
    →

Saturday, 24/04/2027

2 matches
  • FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 2.00 – 1.16
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.68 – 1.31
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.