xgEdge

Saturday, 11/04/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · Eredivisie

Heracles Almelo 0:3 AFC Ajax

Heracles Almelo Home 1.19 xG
AFC Ajax Away 1.92 xG
03 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Heracles Almelo AFC Ajax
Shots
15
18
On target
3
6
Inside the box
9
10
xG per shot
0.08
0.11

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Heracles Almelo

0.97 xG created 2.63 xGA

  • L 0.80 created, 2.60 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
  • L 1.22 created, 3.26 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
  • D 0.31 created, 2.17 conceded against FC Utrecht
  • L 0.66 created, 3.28 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
  • D 1.52 created, 1.06 conceded against Excelsior
  • L 1.33 created, 3.42 conceded against SC Heerenveen
AFC Ajax

1.31 xG created 1.18 xGA

  • D 1.48 created, 1.16 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
  • D 0.33 created, 1.09 conceded against PEC Zwolle
  • L 1.86 created, 1.92 conceded against FC Groningen
  • W 3.02 created, 0.19 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
  • D 0.21 created, 1.37 conceded against Feyenoord
  • L 0.94 created, 1.37 conceded against FC Twente

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Heracles Almelo: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.