PEC Zwolle 0:0 AFC Ajax: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Sunday, 01/03/2026 at 12:15

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle Home 1.09 xG

AFC Ajax Away 0.33 xG

00 PEC Zwolle had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

PEC Zwolle AFC Ajax

Shots: 8; 6
On target: 2; 2
Inside the box: 7; 4
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.06

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

PEC Zwolle

1.34 xG created 1.57 xGA

W 1.73 created, 0.61 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
L 0.71 created, 1.50 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
W 2.85 created, 1.75 conceded against SC Telstar
L 0.70 created, 1.89 conceded against FC Volendam
L 1.19 created, 1.58 conceded against SC Heerenveen
D 0.85 created, 2.11 conceded against FC Utrecht

AFC Ajax

1.86 xG created 0.94 xGA

D 3.43 created, 0.86 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
W 3.44 created, 0.31 conceded against FC Volendam
D 0.63 created, 0.80 conceded against Excelsior
D 0.97 created, 1.68 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
W 1.18 created, 0.84 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
D 1.48 created, 1.16 conceded against NEC Nijmegen

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

PEC Zwolle: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

AFC Ajax 3:1 PEC Zwolle 13/09/2025 xG 2.37 – 0.62

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.