SC Heerenveen 4:1 Heracles Almelo: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Sunday, 05/04/2026 at 14:30

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

SC Heerenveen Home 3.42 xG

Heracles Almelo Away 1.33 xG

41 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

SC Heerenveen Heracles Almelo

Shots: 24; 7
On target: 14; 4
Inside the box: 16; 5
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.19

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

SC Heerenveen

1.52 xG created 2.02 xGA

W 1.58 created, 1.19 conceded against PEC Zwolle
L 1.28 created, 3.27 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
W 1.27 created, 0.83 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
W 1.69 created, 2.56 conceded against Excelsior
W 1.92 created, 2.07 conceded against SC Telstar
D 1.38 created, 2.22 conceded against NEC Nijmegen

Heracles Almelo

0.94 xG created 2.27 xGA

L 1.12 created, 1.26 conceded against NAC Breda
L 0.80 created, 2.60 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
L 1.22 created, 3.26 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
D 0.31 created, 2.17 conceded against FC Utrecht
L 0.66 created, 3.28 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
D 1.52 created, 1.06 conceded against Excelsior

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

SC Heerenveen: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Heracles Almelo 0:3 SC Heerenveen 20/12/2025 xG 0.48 – 1.76

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.