NEC Nijmegen 4:1 Heracles Almelo: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Saturday, 07/02/2026 at 16:30

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen Home 2.55 xG

Heracles Almelo Away 1.16 xG

41 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

NEC Nijmegen Heracles Almelo

Shots: 15; 10
On target: 6; 2
Inside the box: 10; 9
xG per shot: 0.17; 0.12

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

NEC Nijmegen

1.60 xG created 1.48 xGA

W 1.19 created, 2.14 conceded against FC Volendam
D 2.34 created, 1.82 conceded against SC Telstar
D 2.05 created, 2.02 conceded against AFC Ajax
W 1.19 created, 0.82 conceded against NAC Breda
W 1.50 created, 0.71 conceded against PEC Zwolle
W 1.36 created, 1.39 conceded against AZ Alkmaar

Heracles Almelo

1.38 xG created 2.00 xGA

L 2.64 created, 3.22 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
L 0.48 created, 1.76 conceded against SC Heerenveen
L 0.33 created, 2.39 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
L 0.78 created, 2.53 conceded against FC Twente
L 2.05 created, 1.48 conceded against Feyenoord
W 2.01 created, 0.60 conceded against Fortuna Sittard

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

NEC Nijmegen: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Heracles Almelo 1:4 NEC Nijmegen 16/08/2025 xG 1.09 – 3.03

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.