AZ Alkmaar 1:3 NEC Nijmegen: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Saturday, 31/01/2026 at 16:30

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar Home 1.39 xG

NEC Nijmegen Away 1.36 xG

13 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

AZ Alkmaar NEC Nijmegen

Shots: 11; 19
On target: 2; 8
Inside the box: 9; 10
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.07

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

AZ Alkmaar

1.99 xG created 1.19 xGA

D 2.11 created, 1.33 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
L 3.79 created, 1.38 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
W 2.39 created, 0.48 conceded against FC Volendam
L 0.61 created, 1.73 conceded against PEC Zwolle
D 1.85 created, 1.12 conceded against Excelsior
W 1.16 created, 1.09 conceded against SC Telstar

NEC Nijmegen

1.84 xG created 1.54 xGA

W 2.78 created, 1.70 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
W 1.19 created, 2.14 conceded against FC Volendam
D 2.34 created, 1.82 conceded against SC Telstar
D 2.05 created, 2.02 conceded against AFC Ajax
W 1.19 created, 0.82 conceded against NAC Breda
W 1.50 created, 0.71 conceded against PEC Zwolle

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

AZ Alkmaar: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

NEC Nijmegen 2:1 AZ Alkmaar 28/09/2025 xG 1.30 – 0.35

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.