PEC Zwolle 1:0 Heracles Almelo: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Sunday, 03/05/2026 at 14:30

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle Home 0.62 xG

Heracles Almelo Away 1.00 xG

10 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

PEC Zwolle Heracles Almelo

Shots: 9; 14
On target: 5; 3
Inside the box: 4; 9
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.07

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

PEC Zwolle

1.53 xG created 1.78 xGA

D 1.25 created, 1.67 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
D 2.16 created, 2.09 conceded against FC Groningen
W 0.82 created, 1.04 conceded against NAC Breda
L 1.48 created, 2.49 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
D 2.66 created, 1.50 conceded against Excelsior
L 0.83 created, 1.88 conceded against PSV Eindhoven

Heracles Almelo

0.97 xG created 2.19 xGA

D 0.31 created, 2.17 conceded against FC Utrecht
L 0.66 created, 3.28 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
D 1.52 created, 1.06 conceded against Excelsior
L 1.33 created, 3.42 conceded against SC Heerenveen
L 1.19 created, 1.92 conceded against AFC Ajax
L 0.78 created, 1.30 conceded against FC Volendam

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

PEC Zwolle: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Heracles Almelo 8:2 PEC Zwolle 02/11/2025 xG 3.78 – 1.20

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.