xgEdge

Club

HNK Gorica 2026/2027

HNL 2026/2027 →

HNK Gorica right now

HNK Gorica have made a difficult start and sit 9th in HNL. A -4.00 xG difference sits behind 5 points from 8 matches, which suggests the results reflect poor underlying performances. They have scored slightly below their 6.96 xG (−1.96), while conceding slightly more than the 10.96 xG against them (+1.04). They have taken 2.64 fewer points than their chances were worth (7.64), so the table undersells them.

How HNK Gorica compares

Open the match page for NK Rudeš

Next match HNL · Sat 10/10

Home NK Rudeš

1.23 Projected expected goals 0.87
Model probability
HNK Gorica
43%
Draw
34%
NK Rudeš
23%

Data coverage: Thin

Open the match page for NK Istra 1961

Last result HNL · Sat 19/09

Away NK Istra 1961

1:0 Win

Expected goals
0.61 – 1.21
xG difference
-0.60

Won despite being out-created

Every result →
Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals
3.0 0.0 Sat 01/08 Sat 19/09 Sat 01/08 NK Osijek · Expected goals 0.82 Sat 08/08 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Expected goals 1.54 Sun 16/08 HNK Hajduk Split · Expected goals 1.27 Sat 22/08 NK Slaven Belupo · Expected goals 0.93 Mon 31/08 HNK Rijeka · Expected goals 0.15 Sat 05/09 GNK Dinamo Zagreb · Expected goals 0.79 Mon 14/09 NK Varaždin · Expected goals 0.85 Sat 19/09 NK Istra 1961 · Expected goals 0.61 Sat 01/08 NK Osijek · Expected goals conceded 2.70 Sat 08/08 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Expected goals conceded 1.13 Sun 16/08 HNK Hajduk Split · Expected goals conceded 1.20 Sat 22/08 NK Slaven Belupo · Expected goals conceded 1.07 Mon 31/08 HNK Rijeka · Expected goals conceded 0.40 Sat 05/09 GNK Dinamo Zagreb · Expected goals conceded 1.70 Mon 14/09 NK Varaždin · Expected goals conceded 1.55 Sat 19/09 NK Istra 1961 · Expected goals conceded 1.21
The season so far 8 matches, as they add up -4.00 xG difference -0.50 xGD / match
Every match behind the chart above: HNK Gorica's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date Opponent Venue Score Expected goals Expected goals conceded xG difference Goals scored
Sat 01/08 NK Osijek Home 0:2 0.82 2.70 -1.88 0
Sat 08/08 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Away 1:3 1.54 1.13 +0.41 1
Sun 16/08 HNK Hajduk Split Home 1:2 1.27 1.20 +0.07 1
Sat 22/08 NK Slaven Belupo Away 0:2 0.93 1.07 -0.14 0
Mon 31/08 HNK Rijeka Home 0:0 0.15 0.40 -0.25 0
Sat 05/09 GNK Dinamo Zagreb Away 0:1 0.79 1.70 -0.91 0
Mon 14/09 NK Varaždin Home 2:2 0.85 1.55 -0.70 2
Sat 19/09 NK Istra 1961 Away 1:0 0.61 1.21 -0.60 1
The season so far 6.96 10.96 5

Finishing

-1.96

Goals vs xG

Defending

+1.04

Goals conceded vs xGA

Results

-2.64

Points vs xPts

The whole expected-goals page →

Key players

Bruno Bogojević D 2.68 664 min · 3G · xG 1.97 · xA 0.71
Patrik Mijić F 2.39 641 min · 0G · xG 1.88 · xA 0.51
Domagoj Pavičić F 1.19 584 min · 0G · xG 0.57 · xA 0.62
Ivan Cvijanović D 0.95 584 min · 1G · xG 0.35 · xA 0.60
xGI = xG + xA ⓘ

Expected Goal Involvement combines expected goals and expected assists.

The whole squad →
Every figure off the same cached projection · HNL 2026/2027 How the model works →