HNL finishing: goals vs xG 2026/2027
The HNL players whose non-penalty goals have run furthest from the chances behind them, either way. Penalties come out of both halves: a penalty is awarded rather than created, and it is a separate skill.
Emil Frederiksen is furthest above his chances, 3.16 ahead of them: 6 non-penalty goals from 2.84 npxG.
4 players on the two lists
Most above xG
| # | Player | Club | Min | Shots | npG | npxG | npG − npxG | Per shot |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emil Frederiksen | NK Istra 1961 | 682 | 20 | 6 | 2.84 | +3.16 | +0.16 |
| 2 | Dion Drena Beljo | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 506 | 32 | 8 | 5.18 | +2.82 | +0.09 |
| 3 | Armando León | NK Osijek | 639 | 15 | 5 | 2.21 | +2.79 | +0.19 |
| 4 | Hamza Jaganjac | NK Istra 1961 | 600 | 15 | 4 | 2.00 | +2.00 | +0.13 |
Most below xG
Nobody who qualifies has scored a goal or more below his non-penalty xG.
Over a season, most finishing gaps of this size shrink. Shot quality, shot selection and finishing skill all move this number; so does chance.
About these figures What each column counts, and which feed it was counted from. Show Hide
- Min
- Minutes played.
- Shots
- Shots he has taken in this competition this season.
- npG
- Goals with penalties taken out.
- npxG
- Expected goals with penalties taken out.
- npG − npxG
- Non-penalty goals less non-penalty xG.
- Per shot
- npG − npxG divided by the shots he took.
A player is listed once the median HNL club has played 6 matches, with at least 450 minutes and 2.0 non-penalty xG, and only where his non-penalty goals are 1.0 or more from his non-penalty xG — the 10 furthest each way. Every count is summed over the matches we hold per-player figures for, and penalties are taken out of both halves on the shot feed's flag.
Learn how xgEdge calculates these figures →