xgEdge

Expected goals

SV Zulte Waregem expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Jupiler Pro League · after 7 matches · updated 4 Oct

SV Zulte Waregem's attacking and defensive expected goals in Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

SV Zulte Waregem xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.26 xG per match
#12/18
Attack (xG per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 2.16
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.09
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.91
#4 Sint-Truidense VV 1.91
#5 Standard Liège 1.79
#6 KRC Genk 1.78
#7 Cercle Brugge 1.69
#8 RSC Anderlecht 1.62
#9 KVC Westerlo 1.45
#10 Royal Antwerp FC 1.34
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.29
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 1.26
#13 KV Mechelen 1.22
#14 KAA Gent 1.16
#15 SK Beveren 1.11
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.01
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.99
#18 Lommel SK 0.94
League avg
1.48
Total
8.80 7 matches
Defence
1.31 xGA per match
#7/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 KAA Gent 0.66
#2 RSC Anderlecht 0.87
#3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.02
#4 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.06
#5 KRC Genk 1.08
#6 Club Brugge KV 1.20
#7 SV Zulte Waregem 1.31
#8 KV Mechelen 1.46
#9 Lommel SK 1.50
#10 Standard Liège 1.53
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.65
#12 Cercle Brugge 1.75
#13 KVC Westerlo 1.81
#14 Sint-Truidense VV 1.84
#15 SK Beveren 1.86
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.88
#17 KV Kortrijk 1.92
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 2.30
League avg
1.48
Total
9.15 7 matches
xG difference
-0.05 xGD per match
#9/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise +1.06
#2 Club Brugge KV +0.96
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi +0.86
#4 RSC Anderlecht +0.76
#5 KRC Genk +0.70
#6 KAA Gent +0.50
#7 Standard Liège +0.25
#8 Sint-Truidense VV +0.07
#9 SV Zulte Waregem -0.05
#10 Cercle Brugge -0.07
#11 KV Mechelen -0.24
#12 RAAL La Louvière -0.36
#13 KVC Westerlo -0.37
#14 Lommel SK -0.56
#15 SK Beveren -0.75
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven -0.87
#17 KV Kortrijk -0.93
#18 Royal Antwerp FC -0.97
League avg
0.00
Total
-0.35 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.34 xPts per match
#9/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 RC Sporting Charleroi 2.02
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.98
#3 Club Brugge KV 1.90
#4 RSC Anderlecht 1.88
#5 KAA Gent 1.81
#6 KRC Genk 1.64
#7 Standard Liège 1.48
#8 Sint-Truidense VV 1.44
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 1.34
#10 Cercle Brugge 1.25
#11 KVC Westerlo 1.24
#12 KV Mechelen 1.19
#13 RAAL La Louvière 1.08
#14 Royal Antwerp FC 1.00
#15 Lommel SK 1.00
#16 SK Beveren 0.95
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.87
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
9.37 vs 11 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

SV Zulte Waregem's underlying numbers sit close to the Jupiler Pro League average. They rank #9 for xG difference at -0.05 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 10 goals are 1.20 above 8.80 xG, while 11 points are 1.63 above 9.37 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
10 8.80 +1.20 scored 1.20 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
7 9.15 -2.15 conceded 2.15 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
11 9.37 +1.63 1.63 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

SV Zulte Waregem are 1.20 goals above their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at +3.19, against KV Kortrijk on Sun 06/09.

Goals
10
xG
8.80
Gap
+1.20
Sun 09/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Sun 30/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +1.49 +0.51 +1.89 +2.38 +3.19 +2.19 +1.20 +1.49 -0.98 +1.38 +0.49 +0.81 -1.00 -0.99 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
SV Zulte Waregem: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 KRC Genk 2 0.51 +1.49 +1.49
Sat 15/08 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0 0.98 -0.98 +0.51
Sat 22/08 SK Beveren 4 2.62 +1.38 +1.89
Sun 30/08 KVC Westerlo 2 1.51 +0.49 +2.38
Sun 06/09 KV Kortrijk 2 1.19 +0.81 +3.19
Sun 13/09 RC Sporting Charleroi 0 1.00 -1.00 +2.19
Sat 19/09 RSC Anderlecht 0 0.99 -0.99 +1.20

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

SV Zulte Waregem xG trend

Current form +0.02 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 4 of 7 matches. The worst was against RSC Anderlecht on Sat 19/09 (-1.79).

npxG · last 6
1.39
npxGA · last 6
1.37
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.03 Sun 09/08 +0.09 Sat 15/08 +1.83 Sat 22/08 +0.13 Sun 30/08 +0.64 Sun 06/09 -0.75 Sun 13/09 -1.79 Sat 19/09 +0.02 season avg
SV Zulte Waregem: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 09/08 KRC Genk 0.51 0.54 -0.03 -0.03
Sat 15/08 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.98 0.89 +0.09 +0.03
Sat 22/08 SK Beveren 2.62 0.79 +1.83 +0.63
Sun 30/08 KVC Westerlo 1.51 1.38 +0.13 +0.51
Sun 06/09 KV Kortrijk 1.19 0.55 +0.64 +0.53
Sun 13/09 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.05 1.80 -0.75 +0.32
Sat 19/09 RSC Anderlecht 0.99 2.78 -1.79 +0.02

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.26 npxG and 1.25 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 3 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
+0.10 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 12 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
−0.05 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.10 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 3 hardest of 18

  1. RSC Anderlecht Away +0.21
  2. RC Sporting Charleroi Home +0.29
  3. KV Kortrijk Away −0.30
  4. KVC Westerlo Away −0.09
  5. SK Beveren Home −0.38
  6. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Away +0.65
  7. KRC Genk Home +0.33

Last 5

−0.05 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 12 hardest of 18

  1. RSC Anderlecht Away +0.21
  2. RC Sporting Charleroi Home +0.29
  3. KV Kortrijk Away −0.30
  4. KVC Westerlo Away −0.09
  5. SK Beveren Home −0.38

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

SV Zulte Waregem shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. SV Zulte Waregem take 12.9 shots a match (league 14.2) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #12 in Jupiler Pro League for volume and #9 for quality. 66% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 25% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
12.9 shots per match
#12/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 18.7
#2 RC Sporting Charleroi 18.0
=3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 17.3
=3 Sint-Truidense VV 17.3
#5 RSC Anderlecht 16.6
#6 KVC Westerlo 15.3
#7 Royal Antwerp FC 15.1
#8 Cercle Brugge 14.7
#9 KRC Genk 14.1
#10 Standard Liège 14.0
#11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.1
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 12.9
#13 KAA Gent 12.4
#14 KV Mechelen 11.9
#15 KV Kortrijk 11.7
#16 RAAL La Louvière 10.9
#17 SK Beveren 10.7
#18 Lommel SK 10.0
League avg
14.2
Total
90 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#9/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.12
#2 Standard Liège 0.11
#3 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#4 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#5 KRC Genk 0.11
#6 Club Brugge KV 0.10
#7 Cercle Brugge 0.10
#8 RSC Anderlecht 0.10
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#10 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.10
#11 SK Beveren 0.09
#12 KVC Westerlo 0.09
#13 KV Kortrijk 0.09
#14 KAA Gent 0.09
#15 KV Mechelen 0.09
#16 Royal Antwerp FC 0.08
#17 Lommel SK 0.08
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
8.85 npxG from 90 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.1 shots per match
#5/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 RSC Anderlecht 9.9
#2 KAA Gent 10.3
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 11.0
#4 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 11.3
#5 SV Zulte Waregem 12.1
#6 Club Brugge KV 13.1
#7 Cercle Brugge 13.6
#8 KV Mechelen 14.3
#9 KRC Genk 14.7
=10 KV Kortrijk 14.9
=10 Sint-Truidense VV 14.9
=12 KVC Westerlo 15.0
=12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15.0
#14 Standard Liège 15.3
#15 SK Beveren 15.6
#16 RAAL La Louvière 15.7
#17 Royal Antwerp FC 17.1
#18 Lommel SK 21.0
League avg
14.2
Total
85 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#10/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KRC Genk 0.07
#2 KAA Gent 0.07
#3 Lommel SK 0.07
#4 Standard Liège 0.08
#5 RSC Anderlecht 0.09
#6 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.09
#7 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.09
#8 Club Brugge KV 0.09
#9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.10
#10 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#11 KV Mechelen 0.11
#12 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#13 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#14 SK Beveren 0.11
#15 Cercle Brugge 0.11
#16 KV Kortrijk 0.11
#17 KVC Westerlo 0.11
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
8.73 npxGA from 85 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

66% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 59 of 90 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

67% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 57 of 85 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

75% open play · 25% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 2.2 of 8.9 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

61% open play · 39% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 3.4 of 8.7 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

SV Zulte Waregem home and away xG

SV Zulte Waregem per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 4
xG / match 1.38 1.17
xGA / match 0.99 1.55
xGD / match +0.39 -0.38
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.56 1.17

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every SV Zulte Waregem match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5

Matches
5
xG / match
1.46
xGA / match
1.54
xGD / match
-0.08
Points
7 of 15
  1. Sat 19/09 RSC Anderlecht A Weakest underlying xG 0.99 xGA 2.59 xGD -1.60
  2. Sun 13/09 RC Sporting Charleroi H xG 1.00 xGA 1.64 xGD -0.64
  3. Sun 06/09 KV Kortrijk A xG 1.19 xGA 0.55 xGD +0.64
  4. Sun 30/08 KVC Westerlo A xG 1.51 xGA 2.16 P xGD -0.65
  5. Sat 22/08 SK Beveren H Best underlying xG 2.62 xGA 0.78 xGD +1.84

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

SV Zulte Waregem in Jupiler Pro League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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