Celta Vigo 1:1 Atlético Madrid: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 05/10/2025 at 21:00

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Match report · La Liga

Celta Vigo Home 1.92 xG · 18 shots

Atlético Madrid Away 0.30 xG · 7 shots

11 Celta Vigo had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

7' Carl Starfelt (o.g.) Atlético Madrid 0–1
68' Iago Aspas Celta Vigo · 0.69 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Celta Vigo Atlético Madrid

Shots: 18; 7
On target: 4; 2
Inside the box: 9; 4
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.06
Open play xG: 2.06; 0.26
Set-piece xG: 0.09; 0.14
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.14 for Celta Vigo and 0.38 for Atlético Madrid.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 2.55 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Celta Vigo
Atlético Madrid
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Celta Vigo

1.06 xG created 1.23 xGA

D 0.74 created, 0.68 conceded against Mallorca
D 0.83 created, 0.33 conceded against Real Betis
D 0.68 created, 1.15 conceded against Villarreal
D 2.50 created, 0.64 conceded against Girona FC
D 0.81 created, 0.99 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
L 0.77 created, 3.58 conceded against Elche

Atlético Madrid

2.03 xG created 0.89 xGA

D 1.74 created, 0.57 conceded against Elche
D 1.09 created, 0.92 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
W 1.17 created, 0.97 conceded against Villarreal
D 2.26 created, 0.60 conceded against Mallorca
W 3.61 created, 1.60 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
W 2.34 created, 0.66 conceded against Real Madrid

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.