Atlético Madrid 2:1 Valencia: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 13/12/2025 at 14:00

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Match report · La Liga

Atlético Madrid Home 1.01 xG · 10 shots

Valencia Away 1.17 xG · 13 shots

21 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

17' Koke Atlético Madrid · 0.15 xG chance 1–0
63' Lucas Beltrán Valencia · 0.05 xG chance 1–1
74' Antoine Griezmann Atlético Madrid · 0.16 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Atlético Madrid Valencia

Shots: 10; 13
On target: 6; 2
Inside the box: 8; 8
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.77; 0.44
Set-piece xG: 0.27; 0.70
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.01 for Atlético Madrid and 1.17 for Valencia.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 2.18 xG

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Atlético Madrid
Valencia
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Atlético Madrid

1.86 xG created 1.34 xGA

W 3.53 created, 0.46 conceded against Sevilla
W 2.92 created, 1.19 conceded against Levante UD
W 1.13 created, 0.69 conceded against Getafe
W 1.93 created, 0.93 conceded against Real Oviedo
L 0.98 created, 3.60 conceded against Barcelona
L 0.69 created, 1.15 conceded against Athletic Club

Valencia

1.08 xG created 1.49 xGA

L 0.80 created, 2.18 conceded against Villarreal
L 0.46 created, 2.80 conceded against Real Madrid
D 1.94 created, 1.60 conceded against Real Betis
W 1.40 created, 0.75 conceded against Levante UD
D 0.71 created, 1.30 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
D 1.19 created, 0.32 conceded against Sevilla

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.