Celta Vigo 1:1 Real Sociedad: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 19/10/2025 at 16:15

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Match report · La Liga

Celta Vigo Home 0.95 xG · 4 shots

Real Sociedad Away 1.55 xG · 17 shots

11 Real Sociedad had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

20' Pablo Durán Celta Vigo · 0.38 xG chance 1–0
89' Carlos Soler Real Sociedad · 0.11 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Celta Vigo Real Sociedad

Shots: 4; 17
On target: 1; 7
Inside the box: 2; 10
xG per shot: 0.26; 0.09
Open play xG: 1.04; 0.85
Set-piece xG: 0.00; 0.71
Penalties: —; —

Celta Vigo's shots add up to 1.04 xG and Real Sociedad's to 1.56; the published figures are 0.95 and 1.55.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 2.60 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Celta Vigo

1.25 xG created 1.17 xGA

D 0.83 created, 0.33 conceded against Real Betis
D 0.68 created, 1.15 conceded against Villarreal
D 2.50 created, 0.64 conceded against Girona FC
D 0.81 created, 0.99 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
L 0.77 created, 3.58 conceded against Elche
D 1.92 created, 0.30 conceded against Atlético Madrid

Real Sociedad

1.42 xG created 1.48 xGA

L 1.10 created, 0.45 conceded against Real Oviedo
L 2.23 created, 2.42 conceded against Real Madrid
L 0.67 created, 2.25 conceded against Real Betis
W 2.76 created, 0.76 conceded against Mallorca
L 0.97 created, 2.21 conceded against Barcelona
L 0.79 created, 0.80 conceded against Rayo Vallecano

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.