Mallorca 2:1 Real Madrid: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 04/04/2026 at 16:15

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Match report · La Liga

Mallorca Home 1.22 xG · 6 shots

Real Madrid Away 1.27 xG · 15 shots

21 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

42' Manu Morlanes Mallorca · 0.61 xG chance 1–0
88' Éder Militão Real Madrid · 0.02 xG chance 1–1
90' Vedat Muriqi Mallorca · 0.07 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Mallorca Real Madrid

Shots: 6; 15
On target: 2; 6
Inside the box: 5; 13
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.08
Open play xG: 1.02; 0.83
Set-piece xG: 0.15; 0.42
Penalties: —; —

Mallorca's shots add up to 1.17 xG and Real Madrid's to 1.25; the published figures are 1.22 and 1.27.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 2.42 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Mallorca
Real Madrid
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Mallorca

1.05 xG created 1.75 xGA

L 1.01 created, 2.12 conceded against Real Betis
L 0.04 created, 2.58 conceded against Celta Vigo
L 0.66 created, 0.46 conceded against Real Sociedad
D 1.08 created, 2.46 conceded against Osasuna
W 2.03 created, 1.30 conceded against Espanyol
L 1.47 created, 1.56 conceded against Elche

Real Madrid

1.82 xG created 1.18 xGA

W 3.10 created, 1.67 conceded against Real Sociedad
L 1.69 created, 2.05 conceded against Osasuna
L 1.57 created, 0.49 conceded against Getafe
W 0.87 created, 1.05 conceded against Celta Vigo
W 1.25 created, 0.84 conceded against Elche
W 2.42 created, 1.00 conceded against Atlético Madrid

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Mallorca: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Real Madrid 2:1 Mallorca 30/08/2025 xG 1.82 – 0.72

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.