Real Madrid 3:2 Atlético Madrid: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 22/03/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Real Madrid Home 2.42 xG · 17 shots

Atlético Madrid Away 1.00 xG · 13 shots

32 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

33' Ademola Lookman Atlético Madrid · 0.39 xG chance 0–1
52' Vinícius Júnior (pen.) Real Madrid · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
55' Federico Valverde Real Madrid · 0.36 xG chance 2–1
66' Nahuel Molina Atlético Madrid · 0.02 xG chance 2–2
72' Vinícius Júnior Real Madrid · 0.04 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

Real Madrid Atlético Madrid

Shots: 17; 13
On target: 10; 7
Inside the box: 8; 7
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.75; 0.96
Set-piece xG: 1.09; 0.00
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.81 for Real Madrid and 1.00 for Atlético Madrid.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 3.62 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Real Madrid

1.59 xG created 1.09 xGA

W 1.03 created, 0.44 conceded against Valencia
W 3.10 created, 1.67 conceded against Real Sociedad
L 1.69 created, 2.05 conceded against Osasuna
L 1.57 created, 0.49 conceded against Getafe
W 0.87 created, 1.05 conceded against Celta Vigo
W 1.25 created, 0.84 conceded against Elche

Atlético Madrid

1.57 xG created 1.04 xGA

L 0.66 created, 0.94 conceded against Real Betis
L 1.10 created, 1.56 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
W 2.89 created, 1.06 conceded against Espanyol
W 0.97 created, 1.10 conceded against Real Oviedo
W 2.29 created, 0.41 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 1.48 created, 1.18 conceded against Getafe

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Real Madrid: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Atlético Madrid 5:2 Real Madrid 27/09/2025 xG 2.34 – 0.66

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.