Osasuna 2:1 Real Madrid: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 21/02/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Osasuna Home 2.05 xG · 13 shots

Real Madrid Away 1.69 xG · 15 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

38' Ante Budimir (pen.) Osasuna · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
73' Vinícius Júnior Real Madrid · 0.47 xG chance 1–1
90' Raúl García de Haro Osasuna · 0.27 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Osasuna Real Madrid

Shots: 13; 15
On target: 2; 5
Inside the box: 11; 7
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.11
Open play xG: 1.17; 1.16
Set-piece xG: 0.08; 0.54
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.24 for Osasuna and 1.69 for Real Madrid.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 3.77 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Osasuna
Real Madrid
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Osasuna

1.09 xG created 1.31 xGA

L 1.41 created, 0.65 conceded against Girona FC
W 1.37 created, 1.34 conceded against Real Oviedo
W 1.18 created, 0.78 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
D 1.12 created, 0.92 conceded against Villarreal
W 0.66 created, 2.16 conceded against Celta Vigo
D 0.77 created, 2.00 conceded against Elche

Real Madrid

2.28 xG created 0.92 xGA

W 2.94 created, 1.06 conceded against Real Betis
W 2.88 created, 0.80 conceded against Levante UD
W 1.58 created, 0.58 conceded against Villarreal
W 2.14 created, 0.96 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
W 1.03 created, 0.44 conceded against Valencia
W 3.10 created, 1.67 conceded against Real Sociedad

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Osasuna: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Real Madrid 1:0 Osasuna 19/08/2025 xG 1.64 – 0.36

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.