xgEdge

Fixtures

Rayo Vallecano fixtures 2026/2027

Rayo Vallecano · La Liga 2026/2027 →

What Rayo Vallecano have left to play in La Liga 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.

Fixture outlook

31 matches ahead in La Liga

Run difficulty 2.8 of 5 Balanced
Projected xG / match 1.38
Projected xGA / match 1.27
Projected xPts 44.3 / 93

Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.

What the fixtures say

The run of 31 matches ahead of Rayo Vallecano in La Liga rates 2.8 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Balanced. 10 of them rate easier than balanced, and 4 of them rate harder than balanced. The model expects 1.38 projected xG a match from them and 44.3 of the 93 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Athletic Club away, banded 4 of 5 — Difficult, against an attack rated 58/99 and a defence rated 82/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.

The run at a glance

One cell per fixture in the run, soonest first, with its difficulty band under the opponent: 1 is the most favourable and 5 the least. An empty slot is a fixture with no band, and the cell says why.

The first 10 of the 31 matches in this run. The list below carries every one of them.

Kindest fixture

Málaga home Sun 20/12

2 Favourable Opponent: attack 31/99, defence 36/99

Projected xG 1.68 – 0.89 Rayo Vallecano win 55%

Toughest fixture

Athletic Club away Sun 30/05

4 Difficult Opponent: attack 58/99, defence 82/99

Projected xG 0.90 – 1.61 Rayo Vallecano win 18%

  • Open the match page for Athletic Club

    Sat 10/10 Home Athletic Club La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 58/99, defence 82/99
    Projected xG 1.18 – 1.23 Projected xPts 1.30
  • Open the match page for Getafe

    Mon 19/10 Away Getafe La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 27/99, defence 59/99
    Projected xG 1.11 – 1.07 Projected xPts 1.36
  • Open the match page for Elche

    Sat 24/10 Home Elche La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 38/99, defence 39/99
    Projected xG 1.65 – 0.99 Projected xPts 1.84
  • Open the match page for Celta Vigo

    Sun 01/11 Home Celta Vigo La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 30/99, defence 42/99
    Projected xG 1.62 – 0.87 Projected xPts 1.91
  • Open the match page for Real Sociedad

    Sun 08/11 Away Real Sociedad La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 25/99
    Projected xG 1.37 – 1.36 Projected xPts 1.36
  • Open the match page for Valencia

    Sun 22/11 Home Valencia La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 41/99, defence 38/99
    Projected xG 1.66 – 1.02 Projected xPts 1.82
  • Open the match page for Real Betis

    Sun 29/11 Away Real Betis La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 61/99, defence 35/99
    Projected xG 1.29 – 1.67 Projected xPts 1.09
  • Open the match page for Levante UD

    Sun 06/12 Home Levante UD La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 58/99, defence 35/99
    Projected xG 1.69 – 1.24 Projected xPts 1.68
  • Open the match page for Villarreal

    Sun 13/12 Away Villarreal La Liga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 64/99, defence 54/99
    Projected xG 1.15 – 1.71 Projected xPts 0.96
  • Open the match page for Málaga

    Sun 20/12 Home Málaga La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 31/99, defence 36/99
    Projected xG 1.68 – 0.89 Projected xPts 1.93
  • Open the match page for Atlético Madrid

    Sun 03/01 Home Atlético Madrid La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 64/99, defence 67/99
    Projected xG 1.38 – 1.31 Projected xPts 1.40
  • Open the match page for Deportivo La Coruña

    Sun 10/01 Away Deportivo La Coruña La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 38/99, defence 42/99
    Projected xG 1.24 – 1.28 Projected xPts 1.32
  • Open the match page for Sevilla

    Sun 17/01 Home Sevilla La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 72/99
    Projected xG 1.33 – 0.92 Projected xPts 1.66
  • Open the match page for Elche

    Sun 24/01 Away Elche La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 38/99, defence 39/99
    Projected xG 1.26 – 1.29 Projected xPts 1.33
  • Open the match page for Real Madrid

    Sun 31/01 Home Real Madrid La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 79/99, defence 66/99
    Projected xG 1.38 – 1.54 Projected xPts 1.24
  • Open the match page for Espanyol

    Sun 07/02 Away Espanyol La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 48/99, defence 39/99
    Projected xG 1.26 – 1.45 Projected xPts 1.21
  • Open the match page for Celta Vigo

    Sun 14/02 Away Celta Vigo La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 30/99, defence 42/99
    Projected xG 1.24 – 1.14 Projected xPts 1.42
  • Open the match page for Getafe

    Sun 21/02 Home Getafe La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 27/99, defence 59/99
    Projected xG 1.46 – 0.82 Projected xPts 1.84
  • Open the match page for Racing de Santander

    Sun 28/02 Away Racing de Santander La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 23/99
    Projected xG 1.39 – 1.36 Projected xPts 1.38
  • Open the match page for Osasuna

    Sun 07/03 Home Osasuna La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 37/99, defence 50/99
    Projected xG 1.54 – 0.97 Projected xPts 1.78
  • Open the match page for Málaga

    Sun 14/03 Away Málaga La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 31/99, defence 36/99
    Projected xG 1.28 – 1.17 Projected xPts 1.43
  • Open the match page for Barcelona

    Sun 21/03 Home Barcelona La Liga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 89/99, defence 79/99
    Projected xG 1.23 – 1.78 Projected xPts 0.98
  • Open the match page for Levante UD

    Sun 04/04 Away Levante UD La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 58/99, defence 35/99
    Projected xG 1.29 – 1.61 Projected xPts 1.13
  • Open the match page for Real Sociedad

    Sun 11/04 Home Real Sociedad La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 25/99
    Projected xG 1.79 – 1.04 Projected xPts 1.89
  • Open the match page for Deportivo Alavés

    Sun 18/04 Away Deportivo Alavés La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 48/99, defence 66/99
    Projected xG 1.07 – 1.45 Projected xPts 1.06
  • Open the match page for Valencia

    Wed 21/04 Away Valencia La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 41/99, defence 38/99
    Projected xG 1.27 – 1.34 Projected xPts 1.30
  • Open the match page for Villarreal

    Sun 02/05 Home Villarreal La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 64/99, defence 54/99
    Projected xG 1.51 – 1.31 Projected xPts 1.50
  • Open the match page for Deportivo La Coruña

    Sun 09/05 Home Deportivo La Coruña La Liga

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 38/99, defence 42/99
    Projected xG 1.62 – 0.98 Projected xPts 1.83
  • Open the match page for Atlético Madrid

    Sun 16/05 Away Atlético Madrid La Liga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 64/99, defence 67/99
    Projected xG 1.06 – 1.71 Projected xPts 0.89
  • Open the match page for Real Betis

    Sun 23/05 Home Real Betis La Liga

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 61/99, defence 35/99
    Projected xG 1.69 – 1.28 Projected xPts 1.65
  • Open the match page for Athletic Club

    Sun 30/05 Away Athletic Club La Liga

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 58/99, defence 82/99
    Projected xG 0.90 – 1.61 Projected xPts 0.84

The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in La Liga.

Fixture difficulty in La Liga

Reads each matchup for Rayo Vallecano: the band is cut from the model's chances of Rayo Vallecano winning and losing the match, so Rayo Vallecano's own strength and home advantage are in it.

2.8 Rayo Vallecano's run 3.0 the competition's average

Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.

Upcoming opponent strength

number 20 hardest of 20 in La Liga

−0.16 xG vs league average

Over 5 upcoming league fixtures

Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against La Liga's average club, with no venue and nothing of Rayo Vallecano's own strength in it.

Opponents behind the figure

Upcoming

−0.16 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · number 20 hardest of 20

  1. Athletic Club Home +0.40
  2. Getafe Away −0.28
  3. Elche Home −0.26
  4. Celta Vigo Home −0.36
  5. Real Sociedad Away −0.31

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

About these numbers

What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's

Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.

Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in La Liga and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.

Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.

The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.

Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.

xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.

The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.

How the model and every figure here are made →

How the model works →

Mind if we count your visit?

We use Google Analytics only to see how many people visit and which pages they read. It loads after you allow it — no ads, no tracking across other sites. What we collect