Real Sociedad 3:1 Celta Vigo: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 25/01/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Real Sociedad Home 1.61 xG · 10 shots

Celta Vigo Away 1.22 xG · 17 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

17' Mikel Oyarzabal Real Sociedad · 0.06 xG chance 1–0
72' Borja Iglesias Celta Vigo · 0.22 xG chance 1–1
75' Mikel Oyarzabal Real Sociedad · 0.08 xG chance 2–1
90' Brais Méndez (pen.) Real Sociedad · 0.82 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Real Sociedad Celta Vigo

Shots: 10; 17
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 6; 10
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.68; 0.79
Set-piece xG: 0.12; 0.45
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.82 for Real Sociedad and 1.22 for Celta Vigo.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 2.86 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Real Sociedad

1.22 xG created 1.55 xGA

L 1.17 created, 1.39 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
L 0.95 created, 1.43 conceded against Girona FC
D 1.38 created, 1.29 conceded against Levante UD
D 1.73 created, 1.25 conceded against Atlético Madrid
W 1.11 created, 0.24 conceded against Getafe
W 1.01 created, 3.69 conceded against Barcelona

Celta Vigo

1.64 xG created 1.32 xGA

W 1.55 created, 2.29 conceded against Real Madrid
W 1.40 created, 1.62 conceded against Athletic Club
D 0.66 created, 0.63 conceded against Real Oviedo
W 2.70 created, 1.94 conceded against Valencia
W 1.63 created, 0.27 conceded against Sevilla
W 1.87 created, 1.18 conceded against Rayo Vallecano

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Real Sociedad: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Celta Vigo 1:1 Real Sociedad 19/10/2025 xG 0.95 – 1.55

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.