Celta Vigo 4:1 Valencia: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 03/01/2026 at 14:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Celta Vigo Home 2.70 xG · 12 shots

Valencia Away 1.94 xG · 16 shots

41 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

33' Borja Iglesias (pen.) Celta Vigo · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
59' Borja Iglesias Celta Vigo · 0.76 xG chance 2–0
70' Pepelu Valencia · 0.09 xG chance 2–1
83' Jones El-Abdellaoui Celta Vigo · 0.58 xG chance 3–1
90' Hugo Álvarez Celta Vigo · 0.05 xG chance 4–1

The shots behind it

Celta Vigo Valencia

Shots: 12; 16
On target: 6; 5
Inside the box: 10; 10
xG per shot: 0.22; 0.12
Open play xG: 1.62; 1.02
Set-piece xG: 0.23; 0.13
Penalties: 1; 1

Celta Vigo's shots add up to 2.67 xG and Valencia's to 1.97; the published figures are 2.70 and 1.94.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 4.64 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Celta Vigo
Valencia
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Celta Vigo

1.03 xG created 1.48 xGA

L 0.58 created, 3.31 conceded against Barcelona
W 1.37 created, 0.67 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
L 0.63 created, 0.38 conceded against Espanyol
W 1.55 created, 2.29 conceded against Real Madrid
W 1.40 created, 1.62 conceded against Athletic Club
D 0.66 created, 0.63 conceded against Real Oviedo

Valencia

1.31 xG created 0.86 xGA

D 1.94 created, 1.60 conceded against Real Betis
W 1.40 created, 0.75 conceded against Levante UD
D 0.71 created, 1.30 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
D 1.19 created, 0.32 conceded against Sevilla
L 1.17 created, 1.01 conceded against Atlético Madrid
D 1.42 created, 0.19 conceded against Mallorca

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.