Real Sociedad 3:4 Valencia: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 17/05/2026 at 19:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Real Sociedad Home 1.15 xG · 9 shots

Valencia Away 1.67 xG · 13 shots

34 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

3' Aihen Muñoz Real Sociedad · 0.07 xG chance 1–0
8' Javier Guerra Valencia · 0.03 xG chance 1–1
22' Hugo Duro Valencia · 0.33 xG chance 1–2
60' César Tárrega (o.g.) Real Sociedad · 0.10 xG chance 2–2
63' Orri Óskarsson Real Sociedad · 0.43 xG chance 3–2
89' Guido Rodríguez Valencia · 0.04 xG chance 3–3
90' Javier Guerra Valencia · 0.63 xG chance 3–4

The shots behind it

Real Sociedad Valencia

Shots: 9; 13
On target: 4; 6
Inside the box: 7; 9
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.12
Open play xG: 1.23; 1.54
Set-piece xG: 0.01; 0.08
Penalties: —; —

Real Sociedad's shots add up to 1.24 xG and Valencia's to 1.62; the published figures are 1.15 and 1.67.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 2.86 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Real Sociedad
Valencia
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Real Sociedad

1.33 xG created 1.58 xGA

D 0.94 created, 1.13 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
L 1.89 created, 0.12 conceded against Getafe
D 2.23 created, 2.38 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
L 0.16 created, 1.82 conceded against Sevilla
D 2.40 created, 1.94 conceded against Real Betis
D 0.33 created, 2.11 conceded against Girona FC

Valencia

1.44 xG created 1.35 xGA

L 2.54 created, 0.59 conceded against Elche
D 1.68 created, 1.82 conceded against Mallorca
W 1.40 created, 1.56 conceded against Girona FC
L 1.09 created, 2.04 conceded against Atlético Madrid
W 1.19 created, 0.93 conceded against Athletic Club
D 0.76 created, 1.16 conceded against Rayo Vallecano

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Real Sociedad: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Valencia 1:1 Real Sociedad 16/08/2025 xG 2.04 – 0.81

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.