Valencia 1:1 Rayo Vallecano: xG & match report · La Liga

Thursday, 14/05/2026 at 19:00

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Match report · La Liga

Valencia Home 0.76 xG · 12 shots

Rayo Vallecano Away 1.16 xG · 6 shots

11 Rayo Vallecano had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

20' Florian Lejeune Rayo Vallecano · 0.06 xG chance 0–1
40' Diego López Valencia · 0.13 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Valencia Rayo Vallecano

Shots: 12; 6
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 6; 5
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.21
Open play xG: 0.40; 0.37
Set-piece xG: 0.30; 0.06
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.69 for Valencia and 0.42 for Rayo Vallecano.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

18 shots · 1.95 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Valencia

1.45 xG created 1.33 xGA

L 0.81 created, 1.04 conceded against Celta Vigo
L 2.54 created, 0.59 conceded against Elche
D 1.68 created, 1.82 conceded against Mallorca
W 1.40 created, 1.56 conceded against Girona FC
L 1.09 created, 2.04 conceded against Atlético Madrid
W 1.19 created, 0.93 conceded against Athletic Club

Rayo Vallecano

1.56 xG created 1.45 xGA

W 1.37 created, 0.44 conceded against Elche
L 1.95 created, 1.68 conceded against Mallorca
W 1.60 created, 1.96 conceded against Espanyol
D 2.38 created, 2.23 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 0.83 created, 1.38 conceded against Getafe
D 1.20 created, 0.98 conceded against Girona FC

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Valencia: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Valencia 01/12/2025 xG 1.30 – 0.71

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.