Osasuna 2:3 Celta Vigo: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 26/10/2025 at 18:30

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Match report · La Liga

Osasuna Home 2.31 xG · 17 shots

Celta Vigo Away 1.96 xG · 11 shots

23 The result went against the chances

Goals

26' Ferran Jutglà Celta Vigo · 0.08 xG chance 0–1
37' Ante Budimir (pen.) Osasuna · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
45' Ante Budimir Osasuna · 0.08 xG chance 2–1
69' Ferran Jutglà Celta Vigo · 0.66 xG chance 2–2
87' Pablo Durán Celta Vigo · 0.59 xG chance 2–3

The shots behind it

Osasuna Celta Vigo

Shots: 17; 11
On target: 7; 5
Inside the box: 10; 5
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.15
Open play xG: 0.40; 0.97
Set-piece xG: 0.32; 0.70
Penalties: 2; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.73 for Osasuna and 1.72 for Celta Vigo.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 4.03 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Osasuna
Celta Vigo
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Osasuna

1.13 xG created 1.42 xGA

W 1.77 created, 1.04 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
L 1.80 created, 2.55 conceded against Villarreal
D 0.90 created, 0.82 conceded against Elche
L 0.75 created, 0.66 conceded against Real Betis
W 0.43 created, 0.85 conceded against Getafe
L 1.14 created, 2.58 conceded against Atlético Madrid

Celta Vigo

1.27 xG created 1.37 xGA

D 0.68 created, 1.15 conceded against Villarreal
D 2.50 created, 0.64 conceded against Girona FC
D 0.81 created, 0.99 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
L 0.77 created, 3.58 conceded against Elche
D 1.92 created, 0.30 conceded against Atlético Madrid
D 0.95 created, 1.55 conceded against Real Sociedad

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.