Valencia 2:3 Celta Vigo: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 05/04/2026 at 16:15

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Valencia Home 0.81 xG · 13 shots

Celta Vigo Away 1.04 xG · 9 shots

23 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

12' Guido Rodríguez Valencia · 0.03 xG chance 1–0
56' Ilaix Moriba Celta Vigo · 0.22 xG chance 1–1
60' Fer López Celta Vigo · 0.15 xG chance 1–2
81' Williot Swedberg Celta Vigo · 0.42 xG chance 1–3
90' Guido Rodríguez Valencia · 0.12 xG chance 2–3

The shots behind it

Valencia Celta Vigo

Shots: 13; 9
On target: 4; 5
Inside the box: 7; 6
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.12
Open play xG: 0.41; 1.07
Set-piece xG: 0.39; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.81 for Valencia and 1.05 for Celta Vigo.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 1.87 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Valencia
Celta Vigo
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Valencia

1.48 xG created 0.94 xGA

W 0.68 created, 0.63 conceded against Levante UD
L 1.55 created, 2.06 conceded against Villarreal
W 1.67 created, 0.31 conceded against Osasuna
W 2.63 created, 1.33 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
L 0.55 created, 0.87 conceded against Real Oviedo
W 1.81 created, 0.43 conceded against Sevilla

Celta Vigo

1.56 xG created 1.08 xGA

D 2.74 created, 0.71 conceded against Espanyol
W 2.58 created, 0.04 conceded against Mallorca
W 0.60 created, 1.63 conceded against Girona FC
L 1.05 created, 0.87 conceded against Real Madrid
D 0.56 created, 1.49 conceded against Real Betis
L 1.82 created, 1.73 conceded against Deportivo Alavés

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Valencia: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Celta Vigo 4:1 Valencia 03/01/2026 xG 2.70 – 1.94

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.