xgEdge

Expected goals

Valencia expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

La Liga · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Valencia's attacking and defensive expected goals in La Liga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Valencia xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.87 xG per match
#18/20
Attack (xG per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Barcelona 4.07
#2 Real Madrid 2.64
#3 Villarreal 2.38
#4 Atlético Madrid 1.72
#5 Athletic Club 1.64
#6 Real Betis 1.52
#7 Racing de Santander 1.45
#8 Levante UD 1.33
#9 Deportivo Alavés 1.28
#10 Rayo Vallecano 1.27
#11 Espanyol 1.24
#12 Osasuna 1.24
#13 Elche 1.24
#14 Real Sociedad 1.19
#15 Celta Vigo 1.01
#16 Sevilla 0.99
#17 Deportivo La Coruña 0.97
#18 Valencia 0.87
#19 Málaga 0.84
#20 Getafe 0.69
League avg
1.48
Total
6.06 7 matches
Defence
1.64 xGA per match
#13/20
Defence (xGA per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Atlético Madrid 1.02
#2 Real Madrid 1.09
#3 Barcelona 1.09
#4 Deportivo La Coruña 1.15
#5 Deportivo Alavés 1.19
#6 Villarreal 1.25
#7 Celta Vigo 1.26
#8 Getafe 1.27
#9 Sevilla 1.30
#10 Athletic Club 1.36
#11 Espanyol 1.36
#12 Osasuna 1.39
#13 Valencia 1.64
#14 Málaga 1.66
#15 Real Sociedad 1.68
#16 Rayo Vallecano 1.76
#17 Real Betis 1.86
#18 Elche 2.01
#19 Levante UD 2.08
#20 Racing de Santander 2.20
League avg
1.48
Total
11.50 7 matches
xG difference
-0.78 xGD per match
#19/20
xG difference (xGD per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Barcelona +2.99
#2 Real Madrid +1.55
#3 Villarreal +1.12
#4 Atlético Madrid +0.70
#5 Athletic Club +0.28
#6 Deportivo Alavés +0.09
#7 Espanyol -0.12
#8 Osasuna -0.15
#9 Deportivo La Coruña -0.18
#10 Celta Vigo -0.26
#11 Sevilla -0.31
#12 Real Betis -0.34
#13 Rayo Vallecano -0.50
#14 Real Sociedad -0.50
#15 Getafe -0.57
#16 Levante UD -0.75
#17 Racing de Santander -0.76
#18 Elche -0.77
#19 Valencia -0.78
#20 Málaga -0.83
League avg
0.00
Total
-5.44 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.91 xPts per match
#19/20
Expected points (xPts per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Barcelona 2.66
#2 Real Madrid 2.27
#3 Villarreal 1.92
#4 Atlético Madrid 1.86
#5 Athletic Club 1.82
#6 Deportivo Alavés 1.44
#7 Osasuna 1.36
#8 Espanyol 1.35
#9 Sevilla 1.30
#10 Celta Vigo 1.28
#11 Real Betis 1.20
#12 Real Sociedad 1.17
#13 Elche 1.14
#14 Racing de Santander 1.14
#15 Deportivo La Coruña 1.14
#16 Rayo Vallecano 1.12
#17 Levante UD 1.04
#18 Getafe 0.92
#19 Valencia 0.91
#20 Málaga 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
6.40 vs 4 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Valencia's underlying numbers are among the weakest in La Liga. They rank #19 for xG difference at -0.78 per match, from low shot volume and low chance quality. Their 4 goals are 2.06 below 6.06 xG, while 4 points are 2.40 below 6.40 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
4 6.06 -2.06 scored 2.06 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
13 11.50 +1.50 conceded 1.50 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
4 6.40 -2.40 2.40 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Valencia are 2.06 goals below their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at -2.86, against Sevilla on Fri 11/09.

Goals
4
xG
6.06
Gap
-2.06
Sat 22/08 Tue 25/08 Sun 30/08 Sun 06/09 Fri 11/09 Tue 15/09 Sun 20/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.58 -1.70 -2.10 -2.76 -2.86 -2.51 -2.06 -0.58 -1.12 -0.40 -0.66 -0.10 +0.35 +0.45 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Valencia: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 22/08 Celta Vigo 0 0.58 -0.58 -0.58
Tue 25/08 Real Betis 0 1.12 -1.12 -1.70
Sun 30/08 Deportivo La Coruña 1 1.40 -0.40 -2.10
Sun 06/09 Barcelona 0 0.66 -0.66 -2.76
Fri 11/09 Sevilla 0 0.10 -0.10 -2.86
Tue 15/09 Deportivo Alavés 1 0.65 +0.35 -2.51
Sun 20/09 Real Sociedad 2 1.55 +0.45 -2.06

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Valencia xG trend

Current form -0.83 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 1 of 7 matches. The worst was against Barcelona on Sun 06/09 (-3.32).

npxG · last 6
0.94
npxGA · last 6
1.76
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.09 Sat 22/08 +0.45 Tue 25/08 -0.29 Sun 30/08 -3.32 Sun 06/09 -1.13 Fri 11/09 -0.39 Tue 15/09 -0.27 Sun 20/09 -0.72 season avg
Valencia: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 22/08 Celta Vigo 0.58 0.67 -0.09 -0.09
Tue 25/08 Real Betis 1.15 0.70 +0.45 +0.18
Sun 30/08 Deportivo La Coruña 1.34 1.63 -0.29 +0.02
Sun 06/09 Barcelona 0.73 4.05 -3.32 -0.81
Fri 11/09 Sevilla 0.08 1.21 -1.13 -0.88
Tue 15/09 Deportivo Alavés 0.66 1.05 -0.39 -0.80
Sun 20/09 Real Sociedad 1.65 1.92 -0.27 -0.72

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.88 npxG and 1.60 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 9 hardest of 20 in La Liga
+0.02 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 6 hardest of 20 in La Liga
+0.10 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.02 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 9 hardest of 20

  1. Real Sociedad Home −0.31
  2. Deportivo Alavés Away +0.10
  3. Sevilla Away −0.07
  4. Barcelona Home +1.00
  5. Deportivo La Coruña Away −0.24
  6. Real Betis Home +0.04
  7. Celta Vigo Home −0.36

Last 5

+0.10 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 6 hardest of 20

  1. Real Sociedad Home −0.31
  2. Deportivo Alavés Away +0.10
  3. Sevilla Away −0.07
  4. Barcelona Home +1.00
  5. Deportivo La Coruña Away −0.24

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Valencia shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. Valencia take 10.6 shots a match (league 13.2) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #15 in La Liga for volume and #15 for quality. 58% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 17% of their npxG (league 20%).

Attack

Shot volume
10.6 shots per match
#15/20
Shot volume (shots per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Barcelona 21.4
#2 Real Madrid 18.9
#3 Real Betis 17.4
#4 Atlético Madrid 16.9
#5 Villarreal 16.0
#6 Athletic Club 15.7
#7 Espanyol 13.6
=8 Rayo Vallecano 13.4
=8 Real Sociedad 13.4
#10 Deportivo Alavés 12.4
#11 Getafe 11.7
#12 Elche 11.3
#13 Sevilla 11.0
#14 Levante UD 10.7
#15 Valencia 10.6
=16 Celta Vigo 10.3
=16 Racing de Santander 10.3
#18 Deportivo La Coruña 10.1
#19 Málaga 10.0
#20 Osasuna 9.4
League avg
13.2
Total
74 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#15/20
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Barcelona 0.16
#2 Levante UD 0.13
#3 Real Madrid 0.13
#4 Villarreal 0.13
#5 Deportivo Alavés 0.11
#6 Racing de Santander 0.10
#7 Elche 0.10
#8 Deportivo La Coruña 0.10
#9 Osasuna 0.10
#10 Rayo Vallecano 0.09
#11 Athletic Club 0.09
#12 Espanyol 0.09
#13 Real Betis 0.09
#14 Atlético Madrid 0.09
#15 Valencia 0.08
#16 Celta Vigo 0.08
#17 Real Sociedad 0.08
#18 Sevilla 0.07
#19 Málaga 0.06
#20 Getafe 0.06
League avg
0.10
Total
6.19 npxG from 74 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.3 shots per match
=15/20
Shots allowed (shots per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Barcelona 7.3
#2 Athletic Club 9.5
#3 Atlético Madrid 9.7
#4 Sevilla 11.3
#5 Espanyol 12.0
#6 Deportivo Alavés 12.1
#7 Celta Vigo 12.4
=8 Osasuna 12.7
=8 Real Madrid 12.7
=10 Deportivo La Coruña 12.9
=10 Villarreal 12.9
#12 Getafe 13.3
#13 Málaga 14.9
#14 Levante UD 15.2
=15 Elche 15.3
=15 Valencia 15.3
#17 Real Betis 15.7
#18 Real Sociedad 15.9
#19 Rayo Vallecano 16.6
#20 Racing de Santander 16.7
League avg
13.2
Total
107 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#12/20
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Deportivo Alavés 0.07
#2 Getafe 0.07
#3 Real Madrid 0.08
#4 Atlético Madrid 0.08
#5 Rayo Vallecano 0.09
#6 Deportivo La Coruña 0.09
#7 Villarreal 0.09
#8 Celta Vigo 0.09
#9 Real Sociedad 0.10
#10 Málaga 0.10
#11 Athletic Club 0.10
#12 Valencia 0.10
#13 Racing de Santander 0.11
#14 Espanyol 0.11
#15 Sevilla 0.11
#16 Osasuna 0.11
#17 Real Betis 0.12
#18 Levante UD 0.12
#19 Elche 0.12
#20 Barcelona 0.15
League avg
0.10
Total
11.23 npxGA from 107 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

58% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 43 of 74 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

64% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 68 of 107 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

83% open play · 17% set pieces

League avg 20% set pieces

From 1.1 of 6.1 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

80% open play · 20% set pieces

League avg 20% set pieces

From 2.2 of 10.9 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Valencia home and away xG

Valencia per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 0.98 0.72
xGA / match 2.03 1.13
xGD / match -1.05 -0.42
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.92 0.90

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Valencia match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
0.87
xGA / match
1.64
xGD / match
-0.78
Points
4 of 21
  1. Sun 20/09 Real Sociedad H xG 1.55 xGA 2.65 P xGD -1.10
  2. Tue 15/09 Deportivo Alavés A xG 0.65 xGA 1.05 xGD -0.40
  3. Fri 11/09 Sevilla A xG 0.10 xGA 0.93 xGD -0.83
  4. Sun 06/09 Barcelona H Weakest underlying xG 0.66 xGA 4.08 xGD -3.42
  5. Sun 30/08 Deportivo La Coruña A xG 1.40 xGA 1.42 xGD -0.02
  6. Tue 25/08 Real Betis H Best underlying xG 1.12 xGA 0.71 xGD +0.41
  7. Sat 22/08 Celta Vigo H xG 0.58 xGA 0.66 xGD -0.08

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.08. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Valencia in La Liga

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

Mind if we count your visit?

We use Google Analytics only to see how many people visit and which pages they read. It loads after you allow it — no ads, no tracking across other sites. What we collect