Villarreal 0:2 Real Madrid: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 24/01/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · La Liga

Villarreal Home 0.58 xG · 8 shots

Real Madrid Away 1.58 xG · 14 shots

02 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

47' Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid · 0.11 xG chance 0–1
90' Kylian Mbappé (pen.) Real Madrid · 0.82 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Villarreal Real Madrid

Shots: 8; 14
On target: 1; 4
Inside the box: 5; 9
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.34; 0.57
Set-piece xG: 0.23; 0.22
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.58 for Villarreal and 0.79 for Real Madrid.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 2.18 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Villarreal
Real Madrid
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Villarreal

1.30 xG created 1.24 xGA

W 1.51 created, 1.02 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 0.61 created, 0.22 conceded against Getafe
L 1.66 created, 2.72 conceded against Barcelona
W 1.52 created, 1.31 conceded against Elche
W 1.50 created, 0.94 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
L 0.99 created, 1.22 conceded against Real Betis

Real Madrid

2.41 xG created 1.20 xGA

W 2.21 created, 0.84 conceded against Athletic Club
L 2.29 created, 1.55 conceded against Celta Vigo
W 1.83 created, 1.36 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
W 2.33 created, 1.56 conceded against Sevilla
W 2.94 created, 1.06 conceded against Real Betis
W 2.88 created, 0.80 conceded against Levante UD

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Villarreal: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Real Madrid 3:1 Villarreal 04/10/2025 xG 3.52 – 1.00

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.