CD Nacional 1:2 Sporting Braga: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Saturday, 28/02/2026 at 19:00

Full time

Match report · Liga Portugal

CD Nacional Home 0.96 xG

Sporting Braga Away 2.48 xG

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

CD Nacional Sporting Braga

Shots: 14; 20
On target: 5; 8
Inside the box: 10; 16
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.12

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

CD Nacional

1.17 xG created 1.11 xGA

L 1.55 created, 1.43 conceded against Gil Vicente
W 1.53 created, 0.47 conceded against Rio Ave
L 1.32 created, 1.74 conceded against Sporting
D 0.98 created, 0.64 conceded against Casa Pia
L 0.65 created, 0.45 conceded against FC Porto
L 0.99 created, 1.92 conceded against FC Arouca

Sporting Braga

2.12 xG created 0.83 xGA

W 1.57 created, 1.50 conceded against Tondela
W 3.27 created, 0.38 conceded against FC Alverca
W 2.00 created, 0.44 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
W 2.74 created, 0.13 conceded against Rio Ave
L 0.67 created, 1.24 conceded against Gil Vicente
W 2.48 created, 1.27 conceded against Vitória SC

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

CD Nacional: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Sporting Braga 0:1 CD Nacional 28/09/2025 xG 0.58 – 1.33

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.