FC Arouca 3:0 CD Nacional: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Saturday, 21/02/2026 at 16:30

Full time

Match report · Liga Portugal

FC Arouca Home 1.92 xG

CD Nacional Away 0.99 xG

30 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

FC Arouca CD Nacional

Shots: 10; 15
On target: 7; 5
Inside the box: 8; 11
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.07

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Arouca

1.23 xG created 1.12 xGA

L 0.73 created, 0.67 conceded against Tondela
W 1.15 created, 0.58 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
L 1.10 created, 1.05 conceded against Sporting
W 1.47 created, 0.69 conceded against Rio Ave
W 1.72 created, 1.68 conceded against Vitória SC
L 1.23 created, 2.07 conceded against Casa Pia

CD Nacional

1.34 xG created 1.20 xGA

D 1.98 created, 2.47 conceded against Santa Clara
L 1.55 created, 1.43 conceded against Gil Vicente
W 1.53 created, 0.47 conceded against Rio Ave
L 1.32 created, 1.74 conceded against Sporting
D 0.98 created, 0.64 conceded against Casa Pia
L 0.65 created, 0.45 conceded against FC Porto

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC Arouca: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

CD Nacional 1:2 FC Arouca 20/09/2025 xG 2.47 – 1.10

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.