Estoril Praia 2:2 Tondela: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Saturday, 07/02/2026 at 19:00

Full time

Match report · Liga Portugal

Estoril Praia Home 0.71 xG

Tondela Away 1.35 xG

22 Tondela had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

Estoril Praia Tondela

Shots: 15; 6
On target: 6; 5
Inside the box: 8; 5
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.23

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Estoril Praia

1.83 xG created 1.62 xGA

W 2.13 created, 2.19 conceded against Sporting Braga
W 1.30 created, 0.75 conceded against FC Alverca
L 0.83 created, 2.32 conceded against Benfica
W 2.29 created, 0.22 conceded against CF Estrela Amadora
W 2.08 created, 2.04 conceded against Vitória SC
W 2.32 created, 2.20 conceded against Santa Clara

Tondela

0.83 xG created 1.07 xGA

L 1.75 created, 1.15 conceded against Casa Pia
W 0.67 created, 0.73 conceded against FC Arouca
L 0.50 created, 0.42 conceded against Moreirense
L 1.50 created, 1.57 conceded against Sporting Braga
L 0.11 created, 0.66 conceded against Famalicão
D 0.42 created, 1.89 conceded against Benfica

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Estoril Praia: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Tondela 2:2 Estoril Praia 31/08/2025 xG 2.79 – 2.11

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.