FC Arouca 1:0 CF Estrela Amadora: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Sunday, 19/04/2026 at 16:30

Full time

Match report · Liga Portugal

FC Arouca Home 1.01 xG

CF Estrela Amadora Away 1.25 xG

10 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

FC Arouca CF Estrela Amadora

Shots: 11; 15
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 5; 10
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.08

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Arouca

1.40 xG created 1.47 xGA

L 0.24 created, 3.16 conceded against FC Porto
L 0.89 created, 0.97 conceded against Famalicão
L 2.50 created, 2.09 conceded against Benfica
W 1.69 created, 0.59 conceded against Moreirense
W 1.98 created, 1.12 conceded against Estoril Praia
L 1.11 created, 0.89 conceded against Sporting Braga

CF Estrela Amadora

1.42 xG created 1.28 xGA

D 0.68 created, 0.78 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
D 1.22 created, 1.91 conceded against Gil Vicente
L 1.34 created, 2.75 conceded against Rio Ave
W 4.40 created, 0.65 conceded against Casa Pia
L 0.50 created, 0.99 conceded against CD Nacional
L 0.37 created, 0.62 conceded against Sporting

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC Arouca: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

CF Estrela Amadora 3:1 FC Arouca 07/12/2025 xG 3.27 – 0.48

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.