FC Arouca 3:2 Estoril Praia: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Monday, 06/04/2026 at 19:45

Full time

Match report · Liga Portugal

FC Arouca Home 1.98 xG

Estoril Praia Away 1.12 xG

32 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

FC Arouca Estoril Praia

Shots: 12; 12
On target: 4; 3
Inside the box: 9; 8
xG per shot: 0.17; 0.09

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Arouca

1.41 xG created 1.64 xGA

L 1.23 created, 2.07 conceded against Casa Pia
W 1.92 created, 0.99 conceded against CD Nacional
L 0.24 created, 3.16 conceded against FC Porto
L 0.89 created, 0.97 conceded against Famalicão
L 2.50 created, 2.09 conceded against Benfica
W 1.69 created, 0.59 conceded against Moreirense

Estoril Praia

1.13 xG created 1.60 xGA

L 1.08 created, 1.02 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
W 2.18 created, 2.42 conceded against Gil Vicente
L 0.62 created, 2.26 conceded against Sporting
D 0.65 created, 1.47 conceded against Casa Pia
W 1.12 created, 0.80 conceded against CD Nacional
L 1.15 created, 1.65 conceded against Rio Ave

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC Arouca: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Estoril Praia 4:3 FC Arouca 07/11/2025 xG 1.71 – 0.78

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.